#331 Альфа-оценка 74.1

David Woo

Основатель, David Woo Unbound
@Davidwoounbound · отслеживается с фев 2026
331
BUZZBERG Лидерборд ранжируется по Alpha Score, который учитывает среднюю доходность спикера, число его коллов и репутацию — рейтинг авторитетности источника, который может только повысить скор, но не понизить. Читать FAQ
Альфа-оценка 74.1
Сигналы
17
Винрейт
70.6%
доходность
+4.8%
Сигналы 17 8 Постов отслежено · 0.0/день
Сигналы
0
30д 6
90д 15
Лучшие сигналы
000660.KS Шорт +30.0%
WTI Лонг +16.5%
005930.KS Шорт +15.7%
Худшие сигналы
ITA Лонг -10.4%
GOLD Лонг -10.2%
INDA Лонг -6.7%
Самые упоминаемые
BNO ×5
AIQ ×2
QQQ ×2
Последние сигналы
FXY Шорт 2 недели назад
TLT Лонг 2 недели назад
AIQ Шорт 2 недели назад
Винрейт 71% Лонг 6 Шорт 11
Винрейт
35%
30д 73%
90д 0%
Средняя доходность +4.8% Доходность лонгов -0.9% Доходность шортов +8.0%
Средняя доходность
-1.4%
30д +7.9%
90д -13.2%
Загрузка графиков...
Результат
Результат
Сортировка
Тема Позиция
Тикер
Сторона
Упоминания
Первый колл
Цена колла
P&L
Тезис
Тема
Источник
Лонг
15 июн
$121.13
+16.5%
Long oil on geopolitical supply risks.
The Iran-Israel conflict and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz are actively constricting oil supply. Trump’s repeated statements that a deal is imminent signal desperation to Iran, hardening their negotiating stance and prompting them to demand tougher terms. Iran’s bold military actions suggest they feel emboldened. With oil inventories crashing, a prolonged stalemate will drive prices significantly higher. Most scenarios lead to higher oil prices, so he remains long oil.
Сырьё
Шорт
18 авг
$62.53
-2.4%
Short AI at better levels.
His fundamental view is that he wants to short AI and the broader stock market, though he is not short at this moment and is looking for better levels to enter.
Тематические ETF
Шорт
15 июн
$742.90
+4.7%
Short NASDAQ and semiconductors on AI risks.
AI has become too powerful, triggering inevitable global regulatory crackdowns that will severely limit the accessible capabilities of frontier models like Claude Mythos. Simultaneously, hyperscaler capex is already slowing in real terms, masked by component inflation and token maxing, which artificially boosted earnings. AI models and inference chips are rapidly commoditizing, turning the current hardware shortage into a compute glut. These forces will cause the AI capex cycle to decelerate sharply. He is short the NASDAQ and semiconductor indices to capture this bearish turn.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
20 апр
$442.00
-10.2%
Stocks down, oil up, Fed frozen is bullish for gold.
The optimal environment for gold is when the stock market is falling due to war fears, oil prices are rising, and the Federal Reserve is politically constrained from raising rates. This combination creates a very bullish setup for gold.
Сырьё
Шорт
18 авг
$57.48
+0.3%
Short yen, intervention won't save it.
He has been short the Japanese yen over the last two weeks, selling into Japanese intervention, and believes the yen is doomed. He sees Japanese intervention as a selling opportunity.
Валюты
Лонг
18 авг
$252.17
-10.4%
Defense stocks doing well on rearmament.
Defense stocks have been recovering and he thinks defense could do well over the next couple of months because the US is running low on ammunition, the deputy secretary of defense ordered major contractors to ramp production within 21 days, implying more government defense spending. Rheinmetall, the premier European defense contractor, has also been recovering.
Тематические ETF
Шорт
18 авг
$767.36
+0.7%
Oil shock could sink US stocks.
A renewed Iran escalation and a US-China confrontation over Iranian oil would be bearish for the stock market, potentially pushing US stocks down around 10% as oil spikes. The market is leaning toward an offramp and may be complacent about escalation risk.
Фондовые индексы
Лонг
18 авг
$81.66
+0.2%
Bonds cheap as growth slows.
David Woo thinks bonds are very cheap because he does not see inflation and growth is actually slowing, so he does not believe the Fed will be hiking rates. He likes being long bonds, especially looking at five-year yields.
Облигации и ставки
Лонг
18 авг
$10.10
+5.1%
European natural gas supported by supply squeeze.
European natural gas prices rose 10% last week and should remain supported because drought is shutting nuclear reactors, hydro generation is impaired, storage is at decade lows before winter, and Russia-Ukraine energy risk remains unresolved.
Сырьё
Шорт
03 июл
$2418000.00
+30.0%
Memory chip rally unsustainable, will fizzle
High-bandwidth memory chips (HBM) from Samsung, Micron, and SK Hynix have surged due to a temporary shortage after years of underinvestment. However, the chips are not sophisticated, new capacity is coming online by end of 2026, and Chinese competitors can also produce them. The rally will fizzle out.
Память для ИИ
Шорт
03 июл
$309750.00
+15.7%
Memory chip rally unsustainable, will fizzle
High-bandwidth memory chips (HBM) from Samsung, Micron, and SK Hynix have surged due to a temporary shortage after years of underinvestment. However, the chips are not sophisticated, new capacity is coming online by end of 2026, and Chinese competitors can also produce them. The rally will fizzle out.
Память для ИИ
Шорт
03 июл
$517.82
+11.3%
Inference chips commoditise, margins compress
Inference chips from Broadcom, AMD, and others are becoming commoditised. Unlike training chips, they are easy to design, and even OpenAI is making its own inference chips. This erodes differentiation and compresses profit margins.
ИИ-вычисления
Шорт
03 июл
$360.45
-2.8%
Inference chips commoditise, margins compress
Inference chips from Broadcom, AMD, and others are becoming commoditised. Unlike training chips, they are easy to design, and even OpenAI is making its own inference chips. This erodes differentiation and compresses profit margins.
ASIC для ИИ
Шорт
03 июл
$975.56
+4.8%
Memory chip rally unsustainable, will fizzle
High-bandwidth memory chips (HBM) from Samsung, Micron, and SK Hynix have surged due to a temporary shortage after years of underinvestment. However, the chips are not sophisticated, new capacity is coming online by end of 2026, and Chinese competitors can also produce them. The rally will fizzle out.
Память для ИИ
Шорт
03 июл
$393.45
+9.8%
Tesla robots/robo-taxis fail, stock overvalued
Tesla’s valuation depends on humanoid robots and robo-taxis, but those projects are going nowhere. The Chinese are making better humanoid robots, and there are scary stories from robotaxi trial cities. The stock sold off on good revenue, signalling investor disappointment with the long-term growth story.
Авто/EV
Показано 15 из 17 коллов · сортировка по упоминаниям

У David Woo на Buzzberg отслеживается 17 торговых идей по 17 тикерам с февраля 2026. винрейт 71% по 17 оцененным сигналам, средняя доходность +4.8%. #331 в рейтинге Buzzberg Alpha. Чаще всего покрывает: BNO, AIQ, QQQ.