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LLY FY2026 Q1 RAISED

Eli Lilly and Company 실적 발표

Apr 30, 2026 · 10:00 ET Dave RicksIlya YufaLucas Montarse
Buzzberg 분석

Foundeo early launch is drawing 80% new-to-class patients

Eli Lilly delivered a blockbuster Q1 2026, headlined by 56% revenue growth and a raised full-year guide. The core driver remains the incretin franchise (Mounjaro/Zepbound), while the newly launched oral GLP-1 drug Fundaleo is off to an encouraging start with strong new-to-class patient acquisition. Management highlighted the success of the self-pay channel and international expansion as key volume levers. Revenue grew 56% in Q1 to $24 billion, with non-GAAP EPS of $8.55, beating expectations.

Buzzberg 분석 Foundeo early launch is drawing 80% new-to-class patients Eli Lilly delivered a blockbuster Q1 2026, headlined by 56% revenue growth and a raised full-year guide. The core driver remains the incretin franchise (Mounjaro/Zepbound), while the newly launched oral GLP-1 drug Fundaleo is off to an encouraging start with strong new-to-class patient acquisition. Management highlighted the success of the self-pay channel and international expansion as key volume levers. Revenue grew 56% in Q1 to $24 billion, with non-GAAP EPS of $8.55, beating expectations. 전체 분석 보기분석 접기

Eli Lilly delivered a blockbuster Q1 2026, headlined by 56% revenue growth and a raised full-year guide. The core driver remains the incretin franchise (Mounjaro/Zepbound), while the newly launched oral GLP-1 drug Fundaleo is off to an encouraging start with strong new-to-class patient acquisition. Management highlighted the success of the self-pay channel and international expansion as key volume levers. Revenue grew 56% in Q1 to $24 billion, with non-GAAP EPS of $8.55, beating expectations.

  • FY26 revenue guidance raised by $2 billion to $82-85 billion; EPS raised to $35.50-$37.00.
  • The newly launched oral GLP-1 drug Fundaleo (orforglipron) is seeing strong early uptake, with 80% of early prescriptions being new-to-class.
  • Management notes that generic semaglutide entry in India is surprisingly stimulating the overall market, benefiting Lilly's own volume.
Revenue $19.799B +3% QoQ
EPS $8.55 +13% QoQ
Gross margin 81.93% reported
Op margin 44.7% reported

이번 분기에 달라진 점

01
Demand/Launch

Foundeo early launch is drawing 80% new-to-class patients

Eli Lilly delivered a blockbuster Q1 2026, headlined by 56% revenue growth and a raised full-year guide. The core driver remains the incretin franchise (Mounjaro/Zepbound), while the newly launched oral GLP-1 drug Fundaleo is off to an encouraging start with strong new-to-class…

02
Access/Payor

Medicare Bridge Program starts by July with $50 monthly copay

Revenue grew 56% in Q1 to $24 billion, with non-GAAP EPS of $8.55, beating expectations.

03
Marketing

Full-scale DTC TV advertising planned for Foundeo in Q3

FY26 revenue guidance raised by $2 billion to $82-85 billion; EPS raised to $35.50-$37.00.

04
International

International Monjaro shifts focus to patient activation after share leadership

The newly launched oral GLP-1 drug Fundaleo (orforglipron) is seeing strong early uptake, with 80% of early prescriptions being new-to-class.

수요 및 자본지출

수요

수주 및 전환

Guidance raised on the strength of Zepbound and Mounjaro volumes globally, with revenue growth of 28% expected for the full year. The tone is confident about the momentum in the incetin market and the launch of orforglipron.

자본지출

투자 및 생산능력

Management framed unit economics as driven by sunk or unmovable fixed costs and noted that covering amortized R&D and CapEx is a concern from an accounting perspective, while price reductions expand volume. No explicit capex guidance was provided.

톤 · Upbeat

Management highlighted strong revenue growth, raised full-year guidance, and expressed confidence in launch momentum and pipeline catalysts.

공급망 알파

A1

Early Fondaleo (orforglipron) launch data shows 80% of new prescriptions are for patients new to class, indicating market expansion rather than cannibalization of existing incretins.

“80% of those foundational prescriptions are new to class. So this is expansive in bringing new people into being treated for overweight or obesity.”
Ilya Yufa
A2

Generic semaglutide entry in India is actually stimulating growth in the overall obesity market and has coincided with 10% higher Mounjaro prescriptions in recent weeks.

“When we look at the generics, we only have a few weeks of data from India, but it seems like it's really stimulating the growth in the overall obesity market. And that includes our product.”
Patrick Gonson
A3

The U.S. incretin market is seeing a bifurcation, with self-pay (including Lilly Direct) now accounting for 45% of Zepbound's total prescriptions and 55% of new prescriptions, which mitigates the impact of loss of Medicaid access.

“Self-paced continues to be an important segment for ZEPPAN and accounted for approximately 45% of total ZEPPAN prescriptions in Q1 and 55% of new prescriptions.”
Lucas Montarse

향후 가이던스

RaisedGuidance · revenue to $83.5B · was IN LINE last Q
향후 가이던스
지표기간범위중간값상태
EPSFY2026$35.50–$37.00$36.25RAISED
Op marginFY202647%–48.5%47.75%MAINTAINED
RevenueFY2026$82B–$85Babove 컨센서스 대비$83.5BRAISED

기업 영향 분석

+11.9%
발표 이후
$42.46$47.50
공급망공급망 알파

The U.S. incretin market is seeing a bifurcation, with self-pay (including Lilly Direct) now accounting for 45% of Zepbound's total prescriptions and 55% of new prescriptions, which mitigates the impact of loss of Medicaid access. — Lilly's ability to offset commercial payer friction with a large self-pay channel puts pressure on competitors who rely more heavily on traditional reimbursement pathways.

+11.9%
발표 이후
$42.46$47.50
공급망공급망 알파

Early Fondaleo (orforglipron) launch data shows 80% of new prescriptions are for patients new to class, indicating market expansion rather than cannibalization of existing incretins.

+11.9%
발표 이후
$42.46$47.50
공급망공급망 알파

Generic semaglutide entry in India is actually stimulating growth in the overall obesity market and has coincided with 10% higher Mounjaro prescriptions in recent weeks.