The Causes of Unemployment: What’s Missing?

Quoth the Raven · QTR’s Fringe Finance · May 18, 2026 at 07:02 · ⏱ 6 min read  | Read on Substack ↗
Summary
The article argues that minimum wage laws, not 'mismatch' or quitting behavior, are the primary cause of unemployment, because they set wages above market-clearing levels and destroy jobs for low-productivity workers. For markets, this is a theoretical piece with no direct security implications; it reinforces a free-market critique of interventionist labor policy.
  • The author identifies minimum wage laws as the 'real gap' between labor supply and demand, citing Microeconomics 101: when minimum wage is above equilibrium, supply exceeds demand, creating unemployment.
  • Example given: if market-clearing wage is $20/hour and minimum wage is set at $30/hour, employers lose $10/hour hiring a $20-productivity worker, leading to job loss.
  • New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani intends to raise the minimum wage to $30 by 2030, summarized as '$30 in '30'.
  • Author rejects 'mismatch' theory as insufficient, arguing that government subsidies and credential mills produce grads without employer-demanded skills, but this is secondary to minimum wage distortions.
  • The article notes that before the 1930s, wages followed supply and demand without minimum wage laws, and historical events like labor shortages after the plague raised wages naturally.
  • Other market distortions cited as causing unemployment include central bank interest rate adjustments and interventions propping up unsustainable enterprises.
Read time 6 min
Length 6,415 chars
Category finance
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