Does $AMD Have It's Eyes on $AAOI ?

Gaetano · Gaetano · June 18, 2026 at 12:03 · ⏱ 2 min read  | Read on Substack ↗
Summary
AMD is likely trying to secure its own AI optical supply chain to avoid dependence on NVIDIA's ecosystem, which has already tied up Lumentum and Coherent with large investments. Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) emerges as a potential alternative supplier due to its high-power laser and ELSFP capabilities, evidenced by Rosenblatt checks suggesting talks with AMD, though unconfirmed. If an AMD-AAOI deal materializes, it would be a major catalyst for AAOI's stock.
  • NVIDIA invested $2 billion each in Lumentum (LITE) and Coherent (COHR) for advanced laser and optical networking capacity.
  • TrendForce reported AMD is accelerating procurement of high-power CW laser chips to secure capacity outside NVIDIA's supply chain.
  • AAOI is targeting ~400,000 ELSFP units per month of capacity by end of 2027, with Texas expansion and a 25dBm ultra-high-power ELSFP demonstrated at OFC 2026.
  • AAOI management confirmed working with 'a couple of large customers' around ELSFP but has not disclosed names.
Read time 2 min
Length 2,766 chars
Category finance
Ideas
Gaetano Substack author, Gaetano
Article centers on AAOI as a potential AMD supplier for high-power CW lasers and ELSFP, citing Rosenblatt checks suggesting talks, Texas capacity expansion targeting 400k units/month by 2027, and mana
Article centers on AAOI as a potential AMD supplier for high-power CW lasers and ELSFP, citing Rosenblatt checks suggesting talks, Texas capacity expansion targeting 400k units/month by 2027, and management's confirmation of unnamed large customer engagements. A confirmed AMD deal would be a major catalyst. Risk: Deal is unconfirmed; AAOI is high-risk and volatile; ability to ramp 800G/1.6T remains a question.
Gaetano Substack author, Gaetano
Article argues AMD is strategically accelerating procurement of external laser solutions and negotiating major purchase agreements to secure independent AI optical supply chain, which would support it
Article argues AMD is strategically accelerating procurement of external laser solutions and negotiating major purchase agreements to secure independent AI optical supply chain, which would support its AI accelerator competitiveness against NVIDIA's tied-up ecosystem. Risk: Supply chain securing may face execution delays or cost overruns; no confirmed partnership yet.
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This newsletter, published June 18, 2026, features Gaetano discussing AAOI, AMD. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Gaetano  · Tickers: AAOI, AMD