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SpaceX Shares Down After Post-IPO Starship Launch Fail

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  July 18, 2026 at 12:30  |  9:26  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Max Chafkin — Bloomberg Businessweek Columnist

Summary

Bloomberg Businessweek columnist Max Chafkin discusses the recent SpaceX Starship launch scrub and subsequent slide in SpaceX's secondary-market shares. He explains that the selloff highlights how the company's enormous valuation is now tightly tied to an evolving AI story through xAI, which itself is experiencing an identity crisis with rapid strategy pivots and executive departures. He warns that many shareholders may not be ready for the long, bumpy road ahead if the AI narrative doesn't play out.

  • SpaceX shares fell after last-minute Starship launch scrub, the first major test while the stock trades in secondary markets.
  • Chafkin notes the reaction shows investors are on edge and sensitive to any sign that the AI-driven valuation thesis is at risk.
  • SpaceX and xAI are now linked as one company, making the AI story central to the overall value proposition.
  • Carmen Arroyo's Bloomberg Businessweek story details chaos at xAI, including pivots from an anti-woke chatbot to AI companions to a compute-sales model.
  • Executive turnover and strategy churn at xAI raise doubts about its ability to deliver the AI platform that SpaceX's valuation assumes.
  • Elon Musk's historical pattern of succeeding against the odds is still cited by bulls, but Chafkin questions whether shareholders are fully prepared for the decade-long development timeline.
Ideas
Max Chafkin Bloomberg Businessweek Columnist 1:04
SpaceX overvalued, AI story uncertain.
SpaceX's lofty valuation is heavily anchored to an unproven AI story that faces an identity crisis at xAI, rapid pivots, executive exits, and rising competition. The recent Starship launch scrub exposed the inherent volatility of the rocket business and triggered a real-time shareholder selloff, suggesting many investors are not prepared for the long, risky development timeline if the AI narrative fails to materialize.
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Speakers: Max Chafkin  · Tickers: SPCX