Miller Warns of 'Drastic Expansion' of Iran War

Summary

Aaron David Miller warns that US strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure would trigger a major regional escalation, directly threatening Gulf oil facilities and shipping routes. He sees oil prices skyrocketing and a Gaza ceasefire becoming even more remote. He questions whether the publicly telegraphed limited campaign can change Iran’s calculus.

• Reports indicate President Trump may order fresh strikes on Iran, possibly targeting energy infrastructure.
• Miller argues that such action would provoke Iranian retaliation against Gulf oil infrastructure and chokepoints.
• He predicts oil prices would surge substantially in that scenario.
• Coordination with Israel would likely restart Hezbollah and Houthi attacks on multiple fronts.
• Gaza ceasefire prospects would evaporate as the conflict broadens.
• Miller sees limited bombing as unlikely to alter Iran’s stance, describing a risky middle option for the administration.