u/MarkT1065

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Jun 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+28.4%
Calls 1 1 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 1
Best Calls
ADBE Long +28.4%
Worst Calls
No live losers yet
Most Mentioned
ADBE ×1
Recent Calls
ADBE Long 2 months ago
Win Rate 100% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 100%
90d
Average Return +28.4% Long Return +28.4% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -2.9%
30d +14.9%
90d
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Thesis
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Long
Jun 12
$200.67
+28.4%
Adobe has a $25B buyback through 2030, reducing shares by 21–30% of float, and net income is projected to grow 8% annually to ~$13B. The math implies EPS of $42–$47 by 2030, which at 10–15x PE gives share prices of $420–$700, significantly above the current ~$201 premarket price. The author suggests the stock is undervalued given the buyback’s accretive effect on EPS and reasonable growth assumptions. Growth may slow below 8%; buyback execution at higher average cost than assumed; market multiples could compress further; recession or competitive pressure from AI tools.
Adobe has a $25B buyback through 2030, reducing shares by 21–30% of float, and net income is projected to grow 8% annually to ~$13B. The math implies EPS of $42–$47 by 2030, which at 10–15x PE gives share prices of $420–$700, significantly above the current ~$201 premarket price. The author suggests the stock is undervalued given the buyback’s accretive effect on EPS and reasonable growth assumptions. Growth may slow below 8%; buyback execution at higher average cost than assumed; market multiples could compress further; recession or competitive pressure from AI tools.
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u/MarkT1065 has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since June 2026. Most covered: ADBE.