u/dutch1664

Reddit r/wallstreetbets
· tracked since Apr 2026
Calls
2
Win Rate
50.0%
return
+14.7%
Calls 2 3 Posts tracked · 0.0/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 0
Best Calls
RDW Long +34.7%
Worst Calls
RKLB Long -5.2%
Most Mentioned
RKLB ×2
RDW ×1
Recent Calls
RDW Long 3 months ago
RKLB Long 3 months ago
Win Rate 50% Long 2 Short 0
Win Rate
7d 0%
30d 100%
90d 0%
Average Return +14.7% Long Return +14.7% Short Return -
Average Return
7d -5.5%
30d +94.4%
90d -14.0%
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Call Price
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Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Apr 23
$84.60
-5.2%
The author states Rocket Lab succeeded where >100 other small launch vehicle companies failed, making it a rare asset. Valuing it should consider the hypothetical cost to fund 100 new attempts to replicate it. This high "replacement cost" means the market should assign it a premium valuation (e.g., high Price/Sales multiples), far above its current price. Buy RKLB shares and Jan 2028 $75 calls, with an extreme price target of $519, implying multi-bagger returns. Competition (SpaceX, Blue Origin), execution risk, failure to grow revenue, the core analogy being flawed, and high valuation multiples contracting.
The author states Rocket Lab succeeded where >100 other small launch vehicle companies failed, making it a rare asset. Valuing it should consider the hypothetical cost to fund 100 new attempts to replicate it. This high "replacement cost" means the market should assign it a premium valuation (e.g., high Price/Sales multiples), far above its current price. Buy RKLB shares and Jan 2028 $75 calls, with an extreme price target of $519, implying multi-bagger returns. Competition (SpaceX, Blue Origin), execution risk, failure to grow revenue, the core analogy being flawed, and high valuation multiples contracting.
Space
Long
Apr 23
$10.04
+34.7%
AE Industrial sold its remaining shares in a private block sale, removing a persistent selling pressure that had capped the stock near $10. With this overhang gone and a technical breakout underway, the stock is poised to re-rate toward its intrinsic value given its $450M revenue and growth profile. The stock is significantly undervalued at a ~$2B market cap, with a near-term price target of $30-$50. Macroeconomic conditions, poor quarterly earnings reports, and management execution issues could derail the move.
AE Industrial sold its remaining shares in a private block sale, removing a persistent selling pressure that had capped the stock near $10. With this overhang gone and a technical breakout underway, the stock is poised to re-rate toward its intrinsic value given its $450M revenue and growth profile. The stock is significantly undervalued at a ~$2B market cap, with a near-term price target of $30-$50. Macroeconomic conditions, poor quarterly earnings reports, and management execution issues could derail the move.
Space
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u/dutch1664 has 2 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 2 tickers since April 2026. Most covered: RKLB, RDW.