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u/Don236518

Reddit r/ValueInvesting
· tracked since Jul 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
0.0%
return
-5.0%
Calls 1 1 Posts tracked · 0.1/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 1
90d 1
Best Calls
No live winners yet
Worst Calls
NOW Long -5.0%
Most Mentioned
NOW ×1
Recent Calls
NOW Long 1 week ago
Win Rate 0% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
7d
30d
90d
Average Return -5.0% Long Return -5.0% Short Return -
Average Return
7d
30d
90d
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Long
Jul 13
$108.71
-5.0%
Reverse DCF yields 11.2% implied FCFF growth; historical growth is 26-41%, suggesting market is overly pessimistic. If NOW grows FCFF anywhere near its historical rate, the current price offers significant upside; the market has already discounted a severe slowdown. Buy NOW at ~$107, betting that the company can sustain growth above the implied 11.2% over the next decade. AI disrupts ServiceNow’s platform; macro slowdown pressures enterprise spending; SBC dilution is higher than modeled; terminal growth assumption may be too high.
Reverse DCF yields 11.2% implied FCFF growth; historical growth is 26-41%, suggesting market is overly pessimistic. If NOW grows FCFF anywhere near its historical rate, the current price offers significant upside; the market has already discounted a severe slowdown. Buy NOW at ~$107, betting that the company can sustain growth above the implied 11.2% over the next decade. AI disrupts ServiceNow’s platform; macro slowdown pressures enterprise spending; SBC dilution is higher than modeled; terminal growth assumption may be too high.
AI Software
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u/Don236518 has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since July 2026. Most covered: NOW.