Reverse DCF yields 11.2% implied FCFF growth; historical growth is 26-41%, suggesting market is overly pessimistic. If NOW grows FCFF anywhere near its historical rate, the current price offers significant upside; the market has already discounted a severe slowdown. Buy NOW at ~$107, betting that the company can sustain growth above the implied 11.2% over the next decade. AI disrupts ServiceNow’s platform; macro slowdown pressures enterprise spending; SBC dilution is higher than modeled; terminal growth assumption may be too high.
Reverse DCF yields 11.2% implied FCFF growth; historical growth is 26-41%, suggesting market is overly pessimistic. If NOW grows FCFF anywhere near its historical rate, the current price offers significant upside; the market has already discounted a severe slowdown. Buy NOW at ~$107, betting that the company can sustain growth above the implied 11.2% over the next decade. AI disrupts ServiceNow’s platform; macro slowdown pressures enterprise spending; SBC dilution is higher than modeled; terminal growth assumption may be too high.