u/crazzzone

Reddit r/wallstreetbets
· tracked since Jul 2026
Calls
1
Win Rate
0.0%
return
-2.7%
Calls 1 1 Posts tracked · 0.1/day
Calls
7d 1
30d 1
90d 1
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Worst Calls
XLE Long -2.7%
Most Mentioned
XLE ×1
Recent Calls
XLE Long 6 days ago
Win Rate 0% Long 1 Short 0
Win Rate
7d
30d
90d
Average Return -2.7% Long Return -2.7% Short Return -
Average Return
7d
30d
90d
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Long
Jul 22
$59.60
-2.7%
A tanker is on fire in the Red Sea; POTUS has threatened to destroy Iranian infrastructure for each ship attacked; China has stopped buying oil; SPR and IEA emergency reserves are historically low. These converging supply risks (chokepoint disruptions, retaliatory strikes, reserve depletion) are not yet priced into oil/energy stocks, offering a short-term mispricing opportunity until a ceasefire or further escalation. Long XLE via call options expiring Aug 21 to capture a potential spike in energy equities as the market re-rates geopolitical risk. A sudden ceasefire holds; Houthis (not Iran) are the actual aggressors so retaliation may not escalate; Brent already only up 2% suggesting market skepticism; options time decay and low liquidity.
A tanker is on fire in the Red Sea; POTUS has threatened to destroy Iranian infrastructure for each ship attacked; China has stopped buying oil; SPR and IEA emergency reserves are historically low. These converging supply risks (chokepoint disruptions, retaliatory strikes, reserve depletion) are not yet priced into oil/energy stocks, offering a short-term mispricing opportunity until a ceasefire or further escalation. Long XLE via call options expiring Aug 21 to capture a potential spike in energy equities as the market re-rates geopolitical risk. A sudden ceasefire holds; Houthis (not Iran) are the actual aggressors so retaliation may not escalate; Brent already only up 2% suggesting market skepticism; options time decay and low liquidity.
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u/crazzzone has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since July 2026. Most covered: XLE.