Calls
1
u/CLE_Watches
Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Win Rate
100.0%
return
+1.9%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
May 18
$25.00
+1.9%
CMCSA trades at 5.8x FCF, has a $15–16B FCF run rate, and is retiring 5.5% of shares annually via buybacks while paying a 5.35% dividend. The market discounts broadband threats (fiber, 5G, Starlink) that the author argues are overblown; meanwhile, the debt structure (87B at 4.6% avg rate, 16yr duration, 10x coverage) is solid and buybacks are highly accretive at current multiples. Even with zero organic growth, share repurchases alone drive 5–6% annual EPS growth. The author’s fair value estimate of $87/share (vs $25) implies massive upside. The downside is cushioned by the dividend yield. Faster-than-expected broadband subscriber losses; failure of Peacock to achieve sustained profitability; a recession hitting theme parks/advertising; refinancing risks if rates stay high longer than 4.6% average.
CMCSA trades at 5.8x FCF, has a $15–16B FCF run rate, and is retiring 5.5% of shares annually via buybacks while paying a 5.35% dividend. The market discounts broadband threats (fiber, 5G, Starlink) that the author argues are overblown; meanwhile, the debt structure (87B at 4.6% avg rate, 16yr duration, 10x coverage) is solid and buybacks are highly accretive at current multiples. Even with zero organic growth, share repurchases alone drive 5–6% annual EPS growth. The author’s fair value estimate of $87/share (vs $25) implies massive upside. The downside is cushioned by the dividend yield. Faster-than-expected broadband subscriber losses; failure of Peacock to achieve sustained profitability; a recession hitting theme parks/advertising; refinancing risks if rates stay high longer than 4.6% average.
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u/CLE_Watches has 1 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 1 tickers since May 2026. Most covered: CMCSA.
