Calls
13
#269
Alpha Score 73.6
Thomas Braziel
Principal, 117 Partners
Win Rate
41.7%
return
+3.3%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 29
$86.45
+13.1%
Buy MSTR as author updates prior concern — Strategy's willingness to monetize BTC to service STRC dividends validates the financing model, proving collateral is real and financeable rather than theoretical, which de-risks the balance sheet leverage thesis.
Buy MSTR as author updates prior concern — Strategy's willingness to monetize BTC to service STRC dividends validates the financing model, proving collateral is real and financeable rather than theoretical, which de-risks the balance sheet leverage thesis.
Crypto Treasuries
Short
Jun 25
$76.88
-13.5%
Short/avoid STRC because the marginal buyer is an opportunistic distressed fund requiring 30%+ IRR — not a HY fund — implying fair value near $38, well below current levels; the security is subordinated, has no lender protections, non-cumulative dividends, single-asset volatile collateral, negative convexity, and no enforcement rights.
Short/avoid STRC because the marginal buyer is an opportunistic distressed fund requiring 30%+ IRR — not a HY fund — implying fair value near $38, well below current levels; the security is subordinated, has no lender protections, non-cumulative dividends, single-asset volatile collateral, negative convexity, and no enforcement rights.
Crypto Treasuries
Short
Jul 07
$38.59
-2.5%
Short VVV — as a utility token with no equity or debt standing, VVV holders face near-total loss in any bankruptcy scenario, as established by the Giga Watt/WTT precedent where "compute usage" token holders recovered nothing; the "utility" framing provides zero legal protection.
Short VVV — as a utility token with no equity or debt standing, VVV holders face near-total loss in any bankruptcy scenario, as established by the Giga Watt/WTT precedent where "compute usage" token holders recovered nothing; the "utility" framing provides zero legal protection.
Retail & Mobility
Long
Jun 26
$74.70
+16.8%
Buy STRC at $50 after a dividend cut; author agrees the buyback is accretive to MSTR shareholders but sets a lower entry price and dividend cut as preconditions before acting.
Buy STRC at $50 after a dividend cut; author agrees the buyback is accretive to MSTR shareholders but sets a lower entry price and dividend cut as preconditions before acting.
Crypto Treasuries
Short
Jun 25
$85.94
-13.8%
Short MSTR common as the original Bitcoin-treasury playbook exhausts itself; mNAV going negative stops new equity issuance, preferred dividend suspension looms, and multiple dilution vectors (equity issuance, convert satisfaction, preferred overhang) structurally impair the common ahead of June 2028 put-right trigger.
Short MSTR common as the original Bitcoin-treasury playbook exhausts itself; mNAV going negative stops new equity issuance, preferred dividend suspension looms, and multiple dilution vectors (equity issuance, convert satisfaction, preferred overhang) structurally impair the common ahead of June 2028 put-right trigger.
Crypto Treasuries
Long
May 22
$2.76
-21.7%
Buy GLND as an asymmetric bet on Greenland oil exploration with a 13B barrel target, low capital at risk ($60M), and potential for 10-30%+ portfolio return if successful.
Buy GLND as an asymmetric bet on Greenland oil exploration with a 13B barrel target, low capital at risk ($60M), and potential for 10-30%+ portfolio return if successful.
Oil & Gas
Long
May 12
$56.38
-
Buy DXYZ/VCX at current market prices vs estimated NAVs; expect convergence as litigation/forced settlement delivers underlying shares or cash payouts, creating a low-risk arbitrage.
Buy DXYZ/VCX at current market prices vs estimated NAVs; expect convergence as litigation/forced settlement delivers underlying shares or cash payouts, creating a low-risk arbitrage.
Thematic ETFs
Long
May 12
$220.50
-73.7%
Buy DXYZ/VCX at current market prices vs estimated NAVs; expect convergence as litigation/forced settlement delivers underlying shares or cash payouts, creating a low-risk arbitrage.
Buy DXYZ/VCX at current market prices vs estimated NAVs; expect convergence as litigation/forced settlement delivers underlying shares or cash payouts, creating a low-risk arbitrage.
Capital Markets
Long
May 04
$2.16
+59.7%
Buy TONX shares at a 65%+ discount, anticipating value upside if TON becomes Telegram's primary token, creating a double-discount opportunity.
Buy TONX shares at a 65%+ discount, anticipating value upside if TON becomes Telegram's primary token, creating a double-discount opportunity.
Crypto Treasuries
Long
Apr 20
$425.71
-3.5%
Go long TPL based on speculation that Tether may attempt to acquire the company.
Oil & Gas
Long
Apr 14
$198.56
-0.4%
Avoid fading the upward momentum in Bloom Energy, as massive whale positioning and strong after-hours price action support continued upside.
Avoid fading the upward momentum in Bloom Energy, as massive whale positioning and strong after-hours price action support continued upside.
Clean Energy
Long
Mar 30
$17.62
+76.9%
GTX is undervalued due to a favorable industry shift back to internal combustion engines and a low EBITDA multiple, implying significant upside.
GTX is undervalued due to a favorable industry shift back to internal combustion engines and a low EBITDA multiple, implying significant upside.
Autos & EV
Long
Mar 18
$123.50
+1.9%
The author expects a significant, multi-year rally in oil prices, targeting the $200 level.
Commodities
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Thomas Braziel has 13 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 11 tickers since November 2025. Ranked #269 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: SOC, BTC, STRC.
