The Brazilian stock market offers an extremely favorable asymmetric payoff: downside from current levels is likely limited to 10–15%, while the upside could be a doubling or more if fiscal adjustment, election clarity, or foreign inflows materialize. The inflection point will not warn investors, so having at least a small equity position is essential to capture the potential rally.
Ter todo o patrimônio concentrado no Brasil é muito perigoso. O mercado americano é o mais pujante do mundo e oferece melhores oportunidades. A recomendação é abrir conta na Nomad para dolarizar a carteira, ter acesso ao mercado de capitais dos EUA e se proteger da deterioração esperada no cenário brasileiro nos próximos episódios.
The oil market is complacent despite the closure of the Strait of Hormuz for nearly two months. Strategic reserves are being drawn down rapidly, and if the war continues, prices could spike significantly as supply tightens further.