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Peter Grandich has consistently favored copper as his favorite metal, calling it the 'turtle in the race' with never-better fundamentals. He believes copper will outperform and has not moved away from it.
The US must refinance nearly $10 trillion of maturing debt, and he believes it will take a 10-year Treasury yield of 5% or higher to get that done. Meanwhile, Japan and China are reducing their purchases of US Treasuries, shifting more financing burden onto domestic markets. Not raising rates now could damage the bond market more than actually raising.
He re-entered the metals market after gold briefly traded below $4,000. Sees deepening shortages across key metals and critical minerals, corrective phase completed, and the start of the second leg of a three-leg bull market in precious and industrial metals.
The best growth is happening in Asia, and he would rather own equities there than in the U.S. He points to Singapore and China as preferred markets, expecting them to outperform U.S. equities given the latter's fiscal, political, and social strains.
Gold benefits from fiat currency debasement, unsustainable U.S. debt, and central bank buying. After exiting a parabolic move, he has started buying gold again, though still setting conditions for full investment, viewing it as a long-term hard money play.
Peter Grandich has gone back into three or four gold mining shares, believing that the leverage in the gold bull market now comes from producers and explorers rather than physical metal. He sees gold eventually moving higher and prefers mining stocks for greater capital gains.
Peter Grandich believes silver has already bottomed and he has become fundamentally bullish on silver, moving away from his previous view of it as a second-class citizen to gold. He expects silver to rise.
Peter Grandich plans to short the S&P 500 for the first time since 2008, citing extreme overvaluation, overbought conditions, extreme bullish sentiment, early signs of a market peak (layoffs, expert shorting semiconductors), and a US economy that is in far worse shape than any time other than major declines. He is prepared to short aggressively if the market rallies, acknowledging risks from passive inflows but believing the downside outweighs them.
Peter Grandich is bearish on US Treasury bonds, expecting interest rates to rise. He believes a 10-year yield above 5% will cause a stock market correction. He sees rates moving higher due to the US debt crisis, foreign selling of Treasuries, and inflation pressures.
Peter Grandich has 9 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 9 tickers since February 2026. Ranked #595 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: COPPER, SILVER, GDX.
#595Ranked Speaker
#595 of 1796 voices on Buzzberg