Crack spreads and refinery profit margins should maintain themselves even as crude prices readjust, making the refining sector a great place to be from an investment standpoint.
Refined products such as gasoline and jet fuel remain sticky and elevated, continuing to pressure markets and consumers, and the tightness in these products is separate from the moves in crude oil.
Iranian attacks on commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz are expected to persist, but oil prices are only up modestly from recent lows as the market slowly recovers. The recovery in oil prices is underway despite ongoing geopolitical tensions.