Calls
9
#1191
Alpha Score 7.8
Garrett Baldwin
Research Economist, AJB Capital Research
Win Rate
11.1%
return
-13.7%
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Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Short
Mar 06
$110.01
-26.4%
These stocks (KKR, Aries Management, CBRE, Huntington Bancshares) are explicitly on Garrett's "negative momentum" breakdown list. When stocks fall below key moving averages (20/50 day) and lack insider buying support, they enter a liquidation phase. The "Private Credit is Subprime" narrative, while debatable fundamentally, is driving price action downward in these names. Short/Avoid until momentum stabilizes or insiders step in. A sudden Fed pivot or "QE" announcement would squeeze financials higher immediately.
These stocks (KKR, Aries Management, CBRE, Huntington Bancshares) are explicitly on Garrett's "negative momentum" breakdown list. When stocks fall below key moving averages (20/50 day) and lack insider buying support, they enter a liquidation phase. The "Private Credit is Subprime" narrative, while debatable fundamentally, is driving price action downward in these names. Short/Avoid until momentum stabilizes or insiders step in. A sudden Fed pivot or "QE" announcement would squeeze financials higher immediately.
Capital Markets
Short
Mar 06
$25.26
-10.3%
Campbell Soup (CPB), Brown-Forman (BF.B), and Genuine Parts (GPC) are on the active breakdown list with "perfect downtrends." These are classic value traps. Despite being "defensive," they are failing to catch a bid even during a rotation into staples, signaling deep fundamental or structural issues (e.g., Gen Alpha not eating canned soup). Short/Avoid. Sector rotation into deep value could trigger a dead-cat bounce.
Campbell Soup (CPB), Brown-Forman (BF.B), and Genuine Parts (GPC) are on the active breakdown list with "perfect downtrends." These are classic value traps. Despite being "defensive," they are failing to catch a bid even during a rotation into staples, signaling deep fundamental or structural issues (e.g., Gen Alpha not eating canned soup). Short/Avoid. Sector rotation into deep value could trigger a dead-cat bounce.
Packaged Foods
Long
Mar 06
$15.19
-1.6%
Blackstone Minerals (BSM) is a "choke point" asset that owns mineral rights/royalties rather than just operations. In an inflationary or "end of times" geopolitical environment, you want to own assets that kick off cash without heavy capex. BSM pays an ~8% yield and is highly capital efficient. Long as a cash-flowing inflation hedge. A collapse in energy prices would directly impact royalty payouts.
Blackstone Minerals (BSM) is a "choke point" asset that owns mineral rights/royalties rather than just operations. In an inflationary or "end of times" geopolitical environment, you want to own assets that kick off cash without heavy capex. BSM pays an ~8% yield and is highly capital efficient. Long as a cash-flowing inflation hedge. A collapse in energy prices would directly impact royalty payouts.
Oil & Gas
Short
Mar 06
$136.83
-3.8%
These stocks (KKR, Aries Management, CBRE, Huntington Bancshares) are explicitly on Garrett's "negative momentum" breakdown list. When stocks fall below key moving averages (20/50 day) and lack insider buying support, they enter a liquidation phase. The "Private Credit is Subprime" narrative, while debatable fundamentally, is driving price action downward in these names. Short/Avoid until momentum stabilizes or insiders step in. A sudden Fed pivot or "QE" announcement would squeeze financials higher immediately.
These stocks (KKR, Aries Management, CBRE, Huntington Bancshares) are explicitly on Garrett's "negative momentum" breakdown list. When stocks fall below key moving averages (20/50 day) and lack insider buying support, they enter a liquidation phase. The "Private Credit is Subprime" narrative, while debatable fundamentally, is driving price action downward in these names. Short/Avoid until momentum stabilizes or insiders step in. A sudden Fed pivot or "QE" announcement would squeeze financials higher immediately.
Real Estate Development
Short
Mar 06
$25.80
+7.4%
Campbell Soup (CPB), Brown-Forman (BF.B), and Genuine Parts (GPC) are on the active breakdown list with "perfect downtrends." These are classic value traps. Despite being "defensive," they are failing to catch a bid even during a rotation into staples, signaling deep fundamental or structural issues (e.g., Gen Alpha not eating canned soup). Short/Avoid. Sector rotation into deep value could trigger a dead-cat bounce.
Campbell Soup (CPB), Brown-Forman (BF.B), and Genuine Parts (GPC) are on the active breakdown list with "perfect downtrends." These are classic value traps. Despite being "defensive," they are failing to catch a bid even during a rotation into staples, signaling deep fundamental or structural issues (e.g., Gen Alpha not eating canned soup). Short/Avoid. Sector rotation into deep value could trigger a dead-cat bounce.
Packaged Foods
Short
Mar 06
$115.52
-18.7%
Campbell Soup (CPB), Brown-Forman (BF.B), and Genuine Parts (GPC) are on the active breakdown list with "perfect downtrends." These are classic value traps. Despite being "defensive," they are failing to catch a bid even during a rotation into staples, signaling deep fundamental or structural issues (e.g., Gen Alpha not eating canned soup). Short/Avoid. Sector rotation into deep value could trigger a dead-cat bounce.
Campbell Soup (CPB), Brown-Forman (BF.B), and Genuine Parts (GPC) are on the active breakdown list with "perfect downtrends." These are classic value traps. Despite being "defensive," they are failing to catch a bid even during a rotation into staples, signaling deep fundamental or structural issues (e.g., Gen Alpha not eating canned soup). Short/Avoid. Sector rotation into deep value could trigger a dead-cat bounce.
Retail & Mobility
Short
Mar 06
$16.31
-3.0%
These stocks (KKR, Aries Management, CBRE, Huntington Bancshares) are explicitly on Garrett's "negative momentum" breakdown list. When stocks fall below key moving averages (20/50 day) and lack insider buying support, they enter a liquidation phase. The "Private Credit is Subprime" narrative, while debatable fundamentally, is driving price action downward in these names. Short/Avoid until momentum stabilizes or insiders step in. A sudden Fed pivot or "QE" announcement would squeeze financials higher immediately.
These stocks (KKR, Aries Management, CBRE, Huntington Bancshares) are explicitly on Garrett's "negative momentum" breakdown list. When stocks fall below key moving averages (20/50 day) and lack insider buying support, they enter a liquidation phase. The "Private Credit is Subprime" narrative, while debatable fundamentally, is driving price action downward in these names. Short/Avoid until momentum stabilizes or insiders step in. A sudden Fed pivot or "QE" announcement would squeeze financials higher immediately.
Banks
Short
Mar 06
$91.33
-16.7%
These stocks (KKR, Aries Management, CBRE, Huntington Bancshares) are explicitly on Garrett's "negative momentum" breakdown list. When stocks fall below key moving averages (20/50 day) and lack insider buying support, they enter a liquidation phase. The "Private Credit is Subprime" narrative, while debatable fundamentally, is driving price action downward in these names. Short/Avoid until momentum stabilizes or insiders step in. A sudden Fed pivot or "QE" announcement would squeeze financials higher immediately.
These stocks (KKR, Aries Management, CBRE, Huntington Bancshares) are explicitly on Garrett's "negative momentum" breakdown list. When stocks fall below key moving averages (20/50 day) and lack insider buying support, they enter a liquidation phase. The "Private Credit is Subprime" narrative, while debatable fundamentally, is driving price action downward in these names. Short/Avoid until momentum stabilizes or insiders step in. A sudden Fed pivot or "QE" announcement would squeeze financials higher immediately.
Capital Markets
Long
Mar 06
$29.28
-50.3%
The Trade Desk (TTD) was on the "breakdown list" but recently saw significant insider buying. When a stock falls off the negative momentum list and insiders immediately step in to buy, it signals a high-probability reversal. Long (Momentum Reversal). If the stock falls back onto the breakdown list, the trade is invalidated.
The Trade Desk (TTD) was on the "breakdown list" but recently saw significant insider buying. When a stock falls off the negative momentum list and insiders immediately step in to buy, it signals a high-probability reversal. Long (Momentum Reversal). If the stock falls back onto the breakdown list, the trade is invalidated.
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Garrett Baldwin has 9 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 9 tickers since March 2026. Ranked #1191 on the Buzzberg Alpha leaderboard. Most covered: ARES, KKR, CBRE.
