Cem Karsan

Founder, Karsan Consulting
· tracked since Apr 2026
Calls
4
Win Rate
50.0%
return
+0.9%
Calls 4 5 Posts tracked · 0.1/day
Calls
7d 0
30d 0
90d 2
Best Calls
WTI Short +6.0%
SPY Long +5.1%
Worst Calls
BNO Long -6.0%
SMH Long -1.4%
Most Mentioned
SPY ×4
BNO ×3
SMH ×1
Recent Calls
SMH Long 1 month ago
SPY Long 2 months ago
BNO Long 3 months ago
Win Rate 50% Long 3 Short 1
Win Rate
7d 50%
30d 50%
90d 50%
Average Return +0.9% Long Return -0.7% Short Return +6.0%
Average Return
7d +0.8%
30d -2.0%
90d -0.9%
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Result
Result
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Theme Stance
Ticker
Side
Mentions
First Call
Call Price
P&L
Thesis
Theme
Source
Long
Jun 11
$734.68
+5.1%
US equity market will be backstopped
The US equity market will ultimately be backstopped by the Treasury and the Fed through money printing and the creation of a sovereign wealth fund that directly buys US companies, because monetizing the debt and supporting equities is the only way out of the structural debt, populism, and financialization problems. This will drive massive asset inflation and support equity prices.
Equity Indexes
Long
Apr 27
$53.72
-6.0%
Brent to outperform WTI on spread.
The US government's ability to control domestic oil prices (WTI) while global Brent prices rise due to geopolitical tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruption will cause the Brent-WTI spread to widen significantly, making the spread trade an easy directional play.
Commodities
Long
Jul 04
$592.29
-1.4%
AI capex cycle backed by government
AI-related capital expenditure is different this cycle because the US government implicitly guarantees it. Tech leaders like Larry Ellison and Mark Zuckerberg are borrowing heavily to build AI infrastructure based on a wink-and-nod understanding that the government will backstop them, buy their stock, or bail them out. This creates a bullish reflexivity loop for AI capex, especially in the hyperscaler and semiconductor supply chain.
Thematic ETFs
Short
Apr 27
$134.96
+6.0%
Brent to outperform WTI on spread.
The US government's ability to control domestic oil prices (WTI) while global Brent prices rise due to geopolitical tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruption will cause the Brent-WTI spread to widen significantly, making the spread trade an easy directional play.
Commodities
Showing 4 of 4 calls · sorted by mentions

Cem Karsan has 4 trade ideas tracked on Buzzberg across 4 tickers since April 2026. Most covered: SPY, BNO, SMH.