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PLD FY2025 Q4 IMPROVING

Prologis, Inc. earnings call

Jan 21, 2026 · 12:00 ET Dan LetterJustin MengTim Arndt
Buzzberg read

Data center demand exceptional; 1.2 GW in LOI or pending lease execution.

Prologis reported strong Q4 2025 results, with operational momentum across logistics and growth in data centers and energy. Management provided a positive 2026 outlook, expecting a continuation of the occupancy and rent inflection cycle, and highlighted significant growth in its data center pipeline, including 1.2GW in LOIs. Core FFO per share for Q4 2025 was $1.44 including promotes, and $1.46 excluding them.

Buzzberg read Data center demand exceptional; 1.2 GW in LOI or pending lease execution. Prologis reported strong Q4 2025 results, with operational momentum across logistics and growth in data centers and energy. Management provided a positive 2026 outlook, expecting a continuation of the occupancy and rent inflection cycle, and highlighted significant growth in its data center pipeline, including 1.2GW in LOIs. Core FFO per share for Q4 2025 was $1.44 including promotes, and $1.46 excluding them. Read full analysisCollapse analysis

Prologis reported strong Q4 2025 results, with operational momentum across logistics and growth in data centers and energy. Management provided a positive 2026 outlook, expecting a continuation of the occupancy and rent inflection cycle, and highlighted significant growth in its data center pipeline, including 1.2GW in LOIs. Core FFO per share for Q4 2025 was $1.44 including promotes, and $1.46 excluding them.

  • 2025 full-year net effective same-store NOI growth was 4.8%, at the top end of guidance.
  • Management expects U.S. vacancy to decline to ~7.1-7.2% by end of 2026, with positive rent growth emerging.
  • Prologis increased its data center power access to 5.7GW, with 1.2GW in LOI or pending lease execution.
Revenue $2.2527B reported
CORE_FFO_EX_PROMOTE eps $1.46 reported
EPS $1.44 reported
Gross margin 44.62% reported

What changed this quarter

01
Data Centers

Data center demand exceptional; 1.2 GW in LOI or pending lease execution.

Prologis reported strong Q4 2025 results, with operational momentum across logistics and growth in data centers and energy. Management provided a positive 2026 outlook, expecting a continuation of the occupancy and rent inflection cycle, and highlighted significant growth in…

02
Demand/Rents

Vacancy has peaked and rents beginning to inflect across markets.

Core FFO per share for Q4 2025 was $1.44 including promotes, and $1.46 excluding them.

03
Capex

2026 development starts guided to $4-5B, data centers ~40%.

Management guided 2026 development starts to $4–5 billion, up from $3.1 billion in 2025, with data centers representing roughly 40% of that activity. They also expect $1–1.5 billion of acquisitions and continued investment in the power pipeline for data center development.…

04
Growth

18% lease mark-to-market represents $800M embedded NOI upside.

Management expects U.S. vacancy to decline to ~7.1-7.2% by end of 2026, with positive rent growth emerging.

Demand & capex

Demand

Bookings & conversion

U.S. absorption exceeded completions for first time since 2022.. Management repeatedly framed the business as entering 2026 from a 'position of strength' with visible demand, peaking vacancy, and a constructive setup for durable long-term growth.

Capex

Investment and capacity

Management guided 2026 development starts to $4–5 billion, up from $3.1 billion in 2025, with data centers representing roughly 40% of that activity. They also expect $1–1.5 billion of acquisitions and continued investment in the power pipeline for data center development. Logistics starts still have room to outperform if market conditions improve.

Tone · Confident

Management repeatedly framed the business as entering 2026 from a 'position of strength' with visible demand, peaking vacancy, and a constructive setup for durable long-term growth.

Supply-chain alpha

A1

Prologis is seeing a rebound in Southern California, a previously soft market, with a significant pickup in occupancy and a shift in customer demand tone.

“There has been a tone shift in Southern California worth discussing. There is a new direction in customer demand... in the back half of the year, and so both in the third and fourth quarters, gross absorption and net absorption went in a d…”
Chris Caton
A2

Prologis's data center power pipeline has grown to 5.7GW, and it has 1.2GW in LOI or pending lease execution, highlighting the near-term potential for significant revenue and value creation.

“we expanded our power access to 5.7 gigawatts... 1.2 gigawatts currently in LOI or pending lease execution.”
Tim Arndt

Forward guidance

ImprovingGuidance tone
Forward guidance
MetricPeriodRangeMidpointStatus
RevenueDEVELOPMENT_STARTSFY2026$4B–$5B$4.5BGUIDED
RevenueACQUISITIONSFY2026$1B–$1.5B$1.25BGUIDED