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Premarket Alpha Post-Market Alpha

Daily Alpha · Substack

Two full public essays framed drone industrial policy and the ownership economy; Burry's shorter visible excerpt sharpened the AI-financing counterpoint without documenting a trade.

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Themes on this desk

Drone industrial policy

A contributed thesis links the Pentagon's autonomy budget shift to domestic drone and counter-drone suppliers.

Ownership economy

Asset-led wealth and AI construction increasingly shape consumption and industrial equity demand.

Circular financing

Burry's visible excerpt flags AI financing structure as the risk, without supplying position detail.

Substack - Outlier Capital

Drone spending is shifting toward mass attritable systems

Outlier Capital argues the FY2027 Pentagon request includes about $54.6 billion for the Defense Autonomous Warfare Group, supporting RCAT, UMAC, KTOS, AVAV and ONDS.

The contributed thesis links a policy budget shift to public drone manufacturers, but execution remains company-specific.

Watch Appropriations, production awards, domestic-content rules and delivery volumes.

Source →
full text 13268 chars read
Substack - Kyla Scanlon

The ownership economy ties consumption to asset prices

Kyla Scanlon argues labor's share fell while capital's share rose, and that the AI wealth effect now links consumption, state revenue and industrial suppliers to capex.

A market sustained by asset holders becomes more sensitive to equity and housing drawdowns.

Watch Consumer spending by age and wealth, data-center construction and labor-income growth.

Source →
full text 44375 chars read
Substack - Cassandra Unchained

Burry flags AI circular financing

The visible Cassandra Unchained excerpt points to Bloomberg's circular-financing picture and calls it an AI fever dream; it does not document a trade.

The excerpt sharpens the credit-risk counterpoint without supplying position detail.

Watch Any fuller disclosure of counterparties, guarantees or an explicit position change.

Source →
public excerpt 189 chars read