Daily Alpha · Reddit
· Post-Market Alpha · by Buzzberg Research
Retail sentiment is characterized by extreme bearishness on memory stocks and Tesla, alongside fears of an Amazon capex surprise.
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by score · day changeIntel's GAAP net loss driven by CHIPS Act accounting
Intel reported an $11 billion GAAP net loss, primarily due to a $12.5 billion non-cash accounting charge related to the U.S. government's CHIPS Act stake, which is revalued based on Intel's rising stock price.
And under strict accounting rules, Intel actually posted a large $11 billion net loss, even though the adjusted numbers looked
The GAAP loss masks operational progress in the data center and AI segments, potentially misleading investors about the company's underlying turnaround.
Watch Monitor whether rumored orders from Google and Nvidia materialize into significant external foundry revenue to validate the long-term foundry strategy.
Source →Bearish sentiment on memory stocks
The community is overwhelmingly bearish on memory stocks (MU, SNDK), citing consistent losses and institutional selling despite strong earnings reports.
are smart. [+16] u/AngelNotFound4444: Koreans about to get liquidated on Monday after today.
The disconnect between strong fundamentals and price action suggests institutional rotation or a broader cyclical downturn in the memory sector.
Watch Monitor Hynix earnings and subsequent price action in memory-related ETFs for signs of a bottom or continued liquidation.
Source →AMZN CapEx increase expectations
Community sentiment suggests that Amazon is expected to announce a significant increase in capital expenditures (CapEx) in the upcoming earnings report, which traders anticipate will be viewed negatively by the market due to margin pressure.
I get the feeling AMZN is going to get hammered when they announce an increase to CapEx next week.
A surprise CapEx hike could trigger a short-term selloff if the market prioritizes immediate profitability over long-term AI infrastructure investment.
Watch Observe market reaction to Amazon's CapEx guidance in the next earnings release.
Source →SPCX share dilution concerns
Users highlight that the tradable share count for SpaceX is expected to grow from 650 million to 8.6 billion by year-end, creating significant supply-side pressure.
So I just learned that right now there are 650 million tradable shares of SpaceX.
Massive share dilution could suppress price appreciation regardless of operational milestones or rocket launch success.
Watch Track official filings regarding share issuance and lock-up expirations leading into the August 6th 'mega dump' date mentioned by the community.
Source →Hyperscaler RPO concentration risk
Jefferies analysis notes that $2.1T in Remaining Performance Obligations (RPOs) are heavily concentrated, with OpenAI and Anthropic accounting for nearly half of the commitments for major hyperscalers.
$740B. Crucially, around half of this contracted backlog is owed by just two companies: OpenAI and Anthropi.
The lack of profitability at OpenAI and Anthropic creates a potential '2008-style' credit risk for hyperscalers if these 'tenants' cannot fulfill their future payment obligations.
Watch Monitor RPO growth and profitability updates from OpenAI and Anthropic to assess the stability of hyperscaler backlogs.
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