KOSPI, How Far Will It Fall… The Dangerous 'Level' If It Breaks / Even Amid Rate Hike Fears, Some Stocks Will Rise l CEO Lee Kwon-hee

Watch on YouTube ↗ | September 11, 2026 at 03:05 | 25:20 | 815 Money Talk (815머니톡)

Speakers

Lee Kwon-hee — CEO, Economist

Summary

Lee Kwon-hee, CEO of Wizwave, discusses a market under pressure from rising U.S. Treasury yields, oil above $100, and a strong won. He expects USD/KRW to bottom and rebound toward 1,350–1,380, advises waiting for the September 17 Fed meeting before buying, and sees the KOSPI testing key support near 6,830. He also highlights shipbuilding engine stocks, HD Hyundai Heavy Industries, Taewoong, Kia, Samsung Electronics preferred, Sempio, SL, and POSCO International as specific opportunities.

U.S. Treasury yields near 5% and WTI above $100 are pressuring equities.
USD/KRW is seen bottoming and rebounding to 1,350–1,380.
The September 17 Fed meeting is a key event; the speaker advises waiting before buying.
The KOSPI failed at 7,050 and is testing support near 6,830.
Korean shipbuilding engine stocks remain attractive despite Chinese shipbuilding gains.
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries expands engine capacity and invests in SMR.
Kia is viewed as cheap, defensive, and high-dividend.
Year-end dividend and separate-taxation themes include Samsung Electronics preferred, Sempio, and SL.

Ideas

Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 2:54

USD/KRW likely bottoming and rebounding

The speaker says the won has strengthened too far and USD/KRW has fallen to around 1,348. He expects the decline to stop and the rate to rebound toward 1,350–1,380 because large U.S. investment outflows from Korea will require dollar purchases, the government's defense of the 1,500 level has already locked in gains, and market consensus is shifting toward a won rebound. He calls this a personal view.

Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 7:00

Wait for Fed before buying

The KOSPI failed to break above the 7,050 box top and is testing the 6,830 area where the 10-day and 20-day moving averages converge. If it holds 6,830, the uptrend remains intact and the market may be less bad than feared because the oil and rate shocks may already be reflected; if it breaks, deeper downside opens.

Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 11:53

HD Hyundai Heavy attractive after pullback

The speaker cites a six-month broker target price of 800,000 won for HD Hyundai Heavy Industries. He highlights its 3+1 engine plant expansion—3GW in Ulsan and 1GW in Mokpo—and its medium-term plan to invest over 2 trillion won in SMR. He sees the expansion as a positive catalyst and says the stock looks good, especially after its recent pullback, offering another chance for large-cap investors who missed the shipbuilding rally.

Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 12:23

Taewoong benefits from SMR forging demand

The speaker says Taewoong is a well-performing small/mid-cap forging company that makes forged products for shipbuilding, power generation, and nuclear applications and is entering SMR as a new business. Forging is critical for nuclear and SMR components because they must be extremely robust, and demand is expanding from data centers, national power grids, and nuclear plants, with AI data-center power demand as a key driver.

Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 14:41

Korean shipbuilding engine stocks look attractive

Even as Chinese shipbuilders gain share and take orders, the speaker argues Korean-made engines remain critical because engine lifespan and reliability are the most important factors; Chinese shipowners often still require Korean engines. He says engine stocks look good and specifically points to Hanwha Engine and Hyundai Marine Engine as bottoming charts he likes, with potential gains after two to three months, while HD Hyundai Marine Solution is also rising on the engine theme.

Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 16:36

Korean year-end dividend stocks attractive

As year-end approaches, the speaker expects more Korean companies to qualify for separate taxation on dividends and to increase shareholder returns through buybacks and share cancellations. He argues this U.S.-style trend can improve investor sentiment and is especially attractive to high-net-worth investors with interest income above the 20 million won threshold. He names Kia, SL, Samsung Electronics preferred, and Sempio as examples.

Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 16:36

Korean year-end dividend stocks attractive

As year-end approaches, the speaker expects more Korean companies to qualify for separate taxation on dividends and to increase shareholder returns through buybacks and share cancellations. He argues this U.S.-style trend can improve investor sentiment and is especially attractive to high-net-worth investors with interest income above the 20 million won threshold. He names Kia, SL, Samsung Electronics preferred, and Sempio as examples.

Lee Kwon-hee CEO, Economist 21:23

POSCO International benefits from rising energy

With natural gas prices rising, the speaker likes refining and energy-related stocks, specifically mentioning POSCO International as a name he likes for this theme. He notes this is a preference rather than a certainty.

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815 Money Talk (815머니톡) · Sep 11

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published September 11, 2026, features Lee Kwon-hee discussing USD/KRW, EWY, 329180.KS, Taewoong, Hanwha Engine, 443060.KS, 000270.KS, 005935.KS, Sempio, SL Corp, POSCO International. 8 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Lee Kwon-hee · Tickers: USD/KRW, EWY, 329180.KS, Taewoong, Hanwha Engine, 443060.KS, 000270.KS, 005935.KS, Sempio, SL Corp, POSCO International