Silver Prices Collapsed Overnight... The Real Reason for the 30% Plunge: 'Is This the Bottom? Will It Fall Further?' (Silver Investing) Stackers CEO Cho Gyu-won

하루아침에 무너진 은 가격.. 30% 폭락한 진짜 이유 "지금이 바닥일까? 더 하락할까?" (은투자) 스태커스 조규원 대표
Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 09, 2026 at 09:45  |  20:32  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Cho Gyu-won — CEO

Summary

Cho Gyu-won, CEO of Stackers, explains why silver prices surged and then crashed by about 30%, framing the drop as a paper-market shock within a long-term bull cycle. He argues silver has a structural supply deficit, record-low exchange inventories, and growing industrial demand from AI/data centers, EVs, and solar. He also sees gold in a monetary revaluation cycle toward $20,000-$21,000 and silver as deeply undervalued versus gold on the gold-silver ratio. His practical advice is to buy gold and silver on drawdowns and accumulate regularly for the long term.

  • Silver rallied roughly 150% in the prior year and later fell about 30% in a sharp correction.
  • Cho attributes silver volatility to a tight physical market, inelastic supply, and paper trading many times larger than physical.
  • Silver mine supply is mostly a byproduct of gold, copper, and zinc mines, with new supply unlikely before around 2030.
  • Industrial demand from AI capex, data centers, EVs, solar, memory, and GPUs is pushing silver demand to records.
  • Exchange inventories in Shanghai and COMEX have fallen sharply, and physical silver premiums remain elevated.
  • The gold-silver ratio near 60:1 is far above historical 12:1-15:1 levels, which Cho views as silver undervaluation.
  • Cho expects gold above $20,000 and silver potentially at $1,200-$1,500 if the ratio normalizes.
  • He recommends long-term regular accumulation of gold and silver rather than trying to time the exact bottom.
Ideas
Structural silver deficit drives long-term upside.
Silver is in a structural supply deficit: above-ground reserves are limited to roughly 560,000 tonnes, or about 17 years of depletion, and mine supply is mostly a byproduct of gold, copper, and zinc mines with roughly 10-year development lead times, so new supply cannot arrive before around 2030. At the same time, industrial demand from AI/data centers, EVs, solar, memory, and GPUs keeps setting records, and demand is price-inelastic because silver has no easy substitute. Exchange inventories in Shanghai and COMEX have fallen to multi-year lows, physical tightness is severe, and the paper silver market is many times larger than physical, so physical demand shocks can amplify both volatility and upside. The recent roughly 30% futures crash is a paper-market shock rather than a physical-market collapse, and physical premiums remain high. Therefore the speaker treats the drawdown as a buying opportunity and advocates holding silver for the long cycle.
Gold targets $21,000 in revaluation cycle.
Gold is entering a currency revaluation cycle similar to the 1930s and 1970s, when gold rose until the money supply was matched against official gold holdings. Dividing US M0 by the official 8,133 tonnes of US gold holdings implies gold can easily reach around $21,000, with a speculative bubble likely above that level. Gold supply is also tight because reserves are limited and new mine supply is years away. The speaker says he has long expected gold above $20,000 and remains bullish.
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This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published February 09, 2026, features Cho Gyu-won discussing SILVER, GLD. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Cho Gyu-won  · Tickers: SILVER, GLD