SE MORAES FOR AFASTADO? O QUE ACONTECE COM SEUS PROCESSOS NO STF?

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  September 17, 2026 at 00:00  |  7:53  |  Market Makers
Speakers
Matheus Spiess — Analista, Empíricus Research
Carlos Kauffmann — Editor-in-Chief, BeInCrypto

Summary

The video discusses the unprecedented STF judgment involving Alexandre de Moraes and the Banco Master case, including whether a Supreme Court minister can be investigated or removed and what happens to his cases. It also reviews the Brazilian electoral rally, arguing that Lula's favoritism was fragile and the political inflection has helped Brazilian assets. The participants see the STF event as unlikely to cause immediate market friction and expect key decisions to wait for the election.

  • STF judgment on whether Alexandre de Moraes can be investigated was marked by technical debate and postponement.
  • Professor explains there is no internal rule for investigating or removing a Supreme Court minister, who is not subject to CNJ oversight.
  • Removal by impeachment or investigation does not automatically annul prior decisions; cases would be redistributed.
  • The electoral scenario is described as a main driver of the recent rally in Brazilian assets.
  • Lula's fragile favoritism and a likely tight election around 51-49 help explain the market repricing.
  • The STF event is not expected to create friction in the market move, and a decision may come after the election.
  • The market is seen as having reached an equilibrium point after improving significantly.
Ideas
Matheus Spiess Analista, Empíricus Research 2:07
Brazil assets supported by electoral political inflection
The positive price formation in Brazilian assets over recent weeks has been mainly driven by the electoral vector: Lula's favoritism was fragile, the election is likely very tight, and the STF/Moraes case did not create friction, so the political inflection can continue to support Brazilian assets.
Up Next

This Market Makers video, published September 17, 2026, features Matheus Spiess discussing EWZ. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Matheus Spiess  · Tickers: EWZ