Summary
Director Lee Young-hoon reviews July's extreme volatility in the Korean market, attributing the crash to retail speculation in single-stock leverage ETFs. He argues a bottom is now in place in the KOSPI 200 around 6,185, with a recovery target of 7,200, and highlights Samsung Electronics' constructive earnings call as a catalyst. He also warns that leverage ETF risks must be addressed to restore a healthy investment environment.
- Korean equities suffered a severe correction in June-July driven by heavy retail trading in single-stock leveraged and inverse ETFs.
- Director Lee believes the KOSPI 200 bottom is confirmed around 6,185 and sees a Fibonacci-based rebound target near 7,200.
- He turned bullish on the broad index, advising gradual accumulation, and pointed to KODEX 200 ETF as a way to express the view.
- Samsung Electronics' earnings call impressed with details on rolling LTAs and hints of shareholder returns, providing a stock-specific buy thesis.
- SK Hynix's call was disappointing, lacking the market's hoped-for specifics, though it does not invalidate a broader semiconductor bounce.
- The main macro variable for August is oil prices linked to Middle East tensions, though a major escalation is seen as improbable.
- New margin rules for leveraged ETFs have reduced trading volumes, but the speaker insists further reduction of speculative leverage is essential for market normalization.
- The host notes that the sharp drop in single-stock leverage ETF trading on the first day of the new regulation offers hope for a more orderly August.