| Ticker | Direction | Speaker | Thesis | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LONG |
Avi Felman
Principal at GoldenTree / Crypto Portfolio Manager |
Avi states, "Capital concentration is the name of the game... Mag 7... going to outperform all other tech companies." While skeptics cite high Capex as a negative, this spending builds an insurmountable moat. The massive productivity gains and infrastructure ownership (data centers) will accrue astronomical capital to these incumbents before any regulatory or AGI-level disruption occurs. Long the incumbents. The "underperformance" due to Capex fears has already played out. Regulatory breakup or a faster-than-expected shift to AGI that breaks the current corporate model. | 22:45 | |
| LONG |
Avi Felman
Principal at GoldenTree / Crypto Portfolio Manager |
Avi identifies a "geopolitical mega trend" and notes "Uranium... is going to be very critical to powering the next stage of energy production." The convergence of AI (massive energy demand) and Geopolitics (US isolationism/supply chain security) creates a bottleneck for power and critical minerals. Nuclear (Uranium) and domestic sourcing of Rare Earths are the only viable solutions to power data centers independent of foreign reliance. Long Uranium and Rare Earth miners. Regulatory hurdles for new nuclear plants or environmental pushback on mining. | — | |
| LONG |
Jonah Van Bourg
Head of Trading, Cumberland |
Jonah argues against buying raw commodities (like Nat Gas) due to supply gluts, stating one should focus on the "manufactured commodity" or the "machine." Data centers don't need raw gas; they need *electricity* (the manufactured commodity) and physical structures. The alpha is not in the fuel (which is abundant), but in the conversion (Utilities) and the build-out (Construction/Industrials) of the data centers themselves. Long the "Pick and Shovel" plays of the AI build-out (Utilities, Grid, Construction). High interest rates slowing down physical construction projects. | 9:54 | |
| LONG |
Jonah Van Bourg
Head of Trading, Cumberland |
Jonah advises to "borrow money, buy stuff" and notes that "Private investments... construction companies... physical security" are where the 50-100x returns are. Public markets are efficient, but the physical reality of AI (building warehouses, securing servers, retrofitting real estate) offers massive arbitrage in the private sector. Inflation/Yield Curve Control is coming, making debt cheap relative to hard asset appreciation. Leverage up to buy hard assets (Real Estate) or start/invest in service businesses supporting the AI supply chain (security, construction). Over-leverage in a "higher for longer" rate environment. | 15:44 | |
| LONG |
Jonah Van Bourg
Head of Trading, Cumberland |
Jonah states, "I think the lows are in... when we wicked down to... 60k I think that was it." The market is flushing out "useless" crypto assets (the Dot Com bust phase), but Bitcoin remains the premier "hard asset." The current chop is a transfer of value from impatient retail to institutions. The regulatory backdrop is constructive, and the "washout" creates a clean base for the next leg up. Accumulate at 60k-65k levels. A "real financial crisis" (Lehman style) contagion event that forces a deeper liquidation of all assets. | 3:15 | |
| SHORT |
Avi Felman
Principal at GoldenTree / Crypto Portfolio Manager |
Avi says, "If you get a pop for memes that's free money. You just short the [__] out of that." The market regime has shifted fundamentally. We are in a "reality sets in" phase where assets without revenue or utility are repricing to zero. Any rally in speculative assets is simply exit liquidity, not a new bull run. Sell rips / Short rallies in speculative tokens. A sudden return of "mania" retail liquidity (low probability according to speakers). | 10:50 |