Morgan Stanley "Buy Korea"... KOSPI will go to 9000 again after adjustment. / Shaking Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix... Will the leading stocks change? | Lee Jihwan, CEO of Aurora Investment Advisory

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 04, 2026 at 01:30  |  27:26  |  815 Money Talk (815머니톡)
Speakers
Lee Ji-hwan — CEO, Aurora Investment Advisory

Summary

Lee Jihwan, CEO of Aurora Investment Advisory, assesses the sharp KOSPI correction, arguing that last week's extreme volume and panic selling likely marked a bottom. He refutes semiconductor peak fears for Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, citing strong AI demand and a corrective Morgan Stanley report, and highlights a historical S&P 500 rally pattern around US midterms despite current geopolitical noise. He also points to cyclical strength in GM and advises avoiding KOSDAQ near term.

  • KOSPI plunged 5% amid heavy foreign futures selling, but last week's record volume and individual panic selling are classic bottom signals.
  • Lee strongly rejects the memory chip peak thesis, believing AI server demand and long-term contracts will support Samsung and SK Hynix through next year.
  • Chinese DRAM competition is exaggerated: replacing Samsung's entire Apple mobile supply would cost only ~1% of Samsung's revenue.
  • Morgan Stanley's own US-based report contradicted its Asian team's 'Winter Is Coming' call, labeling the move a correction to be bought.
  • Midterm election history indicates S&P 500 weakness in Aug-Sep followed by a rally; the Iran conflict is delaying but not derailing this pattern.
  • GM and US consumer cyclicals hitting new highs suggests markets are pricing in economic stimulus from Trump's tariff revenues.
  • KOSDAQ's recent outperformance was short covering, not a leadership change; the macro setup for KOSDAQ strength is still months away.
  • Investors should wait for upward trend confirmation before deploying cash, but the risk-reward on KOSPI and chip names is improving.
Ideas
Lee Ji-hwan CEO, Aurora Investment Advisory 2:15
KOSPI low likely, buy on dips.
The recent sharp monthly decline of about 50% in KOSPI is unusually large even for a bear market, so a rapid rebound is possible. Last week saw extreme volume and individual panic selling (typical bottom signs), and foreign futures activity suggests short covering. If the previous week's lows hold, this correction provides a buying opportunity, though waiting for an upward trend confirmation before deploying cash is prudent.
Lee Ji-hwan CEO, Aurora Investment Advisory 2:37
Buy Samsung, SK Hynix on correction.
The sell-off in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix was driven by exaggerated peak fears and foreign manipulation, not fundamentals. Memory semiconductor fundamentals remain robust with AI-driven server demand, long-term contracts extending beyond 4 years (over 60% of supply), and Morgan Stanley's US report explicitly stating it is a correction to buy on weakness. The Chinese threat is minimal: even if Apple fully switched to Chinese DRAM for mobile, Samsung's total revenue impact would be only about 1%.
Lee Ji-hwan CEO, Aurora Investment Advisory 7:44
KOSDAQ not ready, avoid for now.
KOSDAQ's recent relative strength is mostly short covering and not a genuine trend reversal. The macro cycle that favors KOSDAQ—aggressive rate hikes and quantitative tightening—has not yet arrived. Additionally, KOSDAQ rising while KOSPI falls is typically a sign of short liquidation rather than sustainable sector rotation, making it unattractive for now.
Lee Ji-hwan CEO, Aurora Investment Advisory 10:15
S&P 500 rally post-midterms likely.
Historical midterm election patterns show the S&P 500 tends to be weak in August-September (3 months before the vote) and then transitions to a rally around November. This year the pattern is delayed by the US-Iran war and inflation pressures, but the underlying dynamic remains. If the Trump administration pushes fiscal stimulus from tariff revenues and a ceasefire materializes, the US equity market could see a strong H2 rebound.
Lee Ji-hwan CEO, Aurora Investment Advisory 14:37
GM hitting new highs, cyclical strength.
US consumer cyclical stocks like General Motors are breaking out to new highs even while the broader market corrects, signaling that expectations for economic stimulus and consumption recovery are already being priced in. This suggests a leadership shift toward cyclicals and supports a bullish view on GM specifically as a representative of this emerging strength.
Up Next

This 815 Money Talk (815머니톡) video, published August 04, 2026, features Lee Ji-hwan discussing EWY, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, KOSDAQ, SPY, GM. 5 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Lee Ji-hwan  · Tickers: EWY, 005930.KS, 000660.KS, KOSDAQ, SPY, GM