Coinbase Loss Has Silver Linings, Benchmark's Palmer Says

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  February 12, 2026 at 21:38  |  3:04  |  Bloomberg Markets
Speakers
Mark Palmer — Senior Equity Research Analyst, The Benchmark Company

Summary

Mark Palmer, senior equity research analyst at The Benchmark Company, discusses Coinbase's fourth-quarter loss on Bloomberg The Close. He says the soft results were expected given visible spot trading volumes, but points to silver linings in institutional revenue, stablecoin revenue, and diversification. He also argues Coinbase's underlying business value is less crypto-correlated than its stock and sees Base layer-2 monetization as a potential growth driver.

  • Coinbase's Q4 loss was not surprising given the crypto slump and transparent spot volumes.
  • Institutional platform revenue rose 37% q/q, driven by crypto derivatives and the Deribit acquisition.
  • Stablecoin revenue rose 3% sequentially, helped by USDC float economics.
  • Coinbase is diversifying into equities and prediction markets to reduce retail trading reliance.
  • Palmer says Coinbase's stock is crypto-correlated, but underlying business value is less so.
  • Base layer-2 monetization is seen as a potential future growth driver.
Ideas
Mark Palmer Senior Equity Research Analyst, The Benchmark Company 0:29
Coinbase has silver linings despite soft quarter
Coinbase's Q4 loss was not surprising because spot trading volumes are transparent and crypto activity slumped, but Palmer sees silver linings: institutional platform revenue rose 37% q/q on crypto derivatives after the first full quarter of the Deribit acquisition; stablecoin revenue rose 3% sequentially from USDC float economics; diversification into equities and prediction markets reduces reliance on retail trading fees that could trend toward zero; and the underlying business value is less correlated with crypto prices than the stock, with Base layer-2 monetization a meaningful potential growth driver.
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This Bloomberg Markets video, published February 12, 2026, features Mark Palmer discussing COIN. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Mark Palmer  · Tickers: COIN