Bitcoin Has Been Oversold for Months. Is a Buy Signal Next?

Watch on YouTube ↗  |  August 14, 2026 at 19:46  |  8:08  |  Unchained (Chopping Block)
Speakers
Katie Stockton — Founder, Fairlead Strategies
Steven Ehrlich — Host of Bits + Bips: The Interview and Head of Research at Sharplink

Summary

Katie Stockton walks through Bitcoin's technical setup using monthly stochastic oscillators, DeMark indicators, Fibonacci retracements, support zones, and the cloud model. She sees long-term oversold conditions and downside exhaustion that suggest a potential major low, but wants the monthly stochastic to turn back above 20% for confirmation. Until then, Bitcoin remains in a visible downtrend and long exposure requires stricter risk management.

  • Bitcoin has been in a crypto winter with a visible downtrend of lower highs and lower lows.
  • The monthly stochastic oscillator has been oversold for several months.
  • DeMark indicators show downside exhaustion on the monthly Bitcoin chart.
  • Weekly and monthly oversold conditions together suggest a potential major low.
  • Confirmation requires monthly stochastics to decisively turn back above 20%.
  • Support comes from prior lows, Fibonacci retracements, and the cloud model, though the cloud is currently resistance.
  • Katie warns that being long Bitcoin now means fighting the downtrend and requires risk management.
Ideas
Katie Stockton Founder, Fairlead Strategies 1:26
Bitcoin monthly oversold setup may mark low
Bitcoin's monthly stochastic oscillator has been oversold for months, and DeMark indicators show downside exhaustion on the monthly chart. Combined with weekly and monthly oversold conditions and nearby long-term support from prior lows, Fibonacci retracement levels, and the cloud model, this suggests a potential major low is in place. However, Katie wants confirmation via the monthly stochastics decisively turning back above 20% before treating it as an oversold buy signal.
Up Next

This Unchained (Chopping Block) video, published August 14, 2026, features Katie Stockton discussing BTC. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: Katie Stockton  · Tickers: BTC