Macro Winner Washout

Bob Elliott · Nonconsensus · March 23, 2026 at 10:27 · ⏱ 3 min read  | Read on Substack ↗
Summary
The author argues that recent cross-asset market moves are primarily driven by a broad-based deleveraging of recently profitable macro positions, rather than specific idiosyncratic stories. This deleveraging process is a powerful force, especially during abrupt shifts in the macroeconomic regime that force a rapid reassessment of risk.
  • Recent cross-asset market moves are being driven by the deleveraging of crowded, in-the-money macro positions.
  • This broad deleveraging is a more significant driver than specific market narratives, such as the recent move in gold.
  • Deleveraging can be one of the most powerful pressures in financial markets, especially during abrupt macro regime shifts.
Read time 3 min
Length 3,820 chars
Category finance
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