Why rates will fall (and why that won't actually help)

Every crisis for 17+ years (2008, COVID) got "solved" the same way: cut rates, print money. Never: fix who actually owns the assets. That's the money-centric trap, treating a real resource-distribution problem like it's just a number on a screen, which is money. Government debt sustainability comes down to interest rate (R) vs inflation + growth (I+G). If R stays above I+G, debt compounds on its own. Taxing working people more or cutting spending doesn't fix this, both drag down growth (G), making the ratio worse. A wealth tax is one of the few things that actually improves the ratio without also killing growth, because it pulls from money sitting in assets, not money circulating in the economy. My prediction: we won't get the wealth tax. We'll get a rate cut instead. It's the easy move, no political fight against concentrated wealth required, easy to sell as "helping the economy." But it doesn't touch who owns the actual resources, so it doesn't fix anything, it just repeats 2008/COVID: asset prices and inflation move, the underlying distribution problem stays exactly where it was.