a member of Congress with an 87% win rate over 118 disclosed trades went quiet for two years, then bought SpaceX on its first trading day
u/burblank ·
Reddit — r/StockMarket
· July 14, 2026 at 18:14
· ⬆ 28 pts
· 💬 8 comments
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I've been ranking every member of Congress by how their disclosed trades actually performed, and one name is well ahead of the pack.
John James (R-MI) shows 118 closed trades with an 87% win rate and about +22% average. For reference, the members I track with a meaningful sample average around 57%. This isn't a handful of lucky picks, there are real losses in there (worst around -44%) sitting next to big winners like THC +201%, AVGO +63%, META +56%.
What caught my attention: after that stretch he went completely quiet, no disclosed stock purchases for roughly two years. Then last month he resurfaced and bought SpaceX on its first day of trading.
A couple of fair caveats. Disclosures are delayed 30 to 45 days, so this is never a real-time signal, and James has previously been flagged for filing trades past the STOCK Act deadline. Still, the sequence is hard to ignore. Curious if anyone here has looked at his record or has a take on the SpaceX purchase. No position in any of it.