The "Trillion Dollar" SpaceX Fantasy Ignores a Multi-Front Siege

u/cranberrie_sauce · Reddit — r/stocks · June 19, 2026 at 20:53 · ⬆ 20 pts · 💬 59 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
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Author argues SpaceX's trillion-dollar revenue projection is undermined by a limited broadband TAM and state-backed satellite competition, while Tesla loses EV dominance as margins collapse and European sales fall.

TSLA — AVOID The author claims Tesla's competitive moat has eroded because BYD, Geely, and Nio have matched battery technology and undercut pricing, causing margins to collapse. In Europe, Tesla's direct-sales model is described as a liability with insufficient service centers, and sales have fallen 37% as buyers choose Chinese and local brands. This supports a bearish or avoid stance on TSLA, with the author implying continued share loss to better-supported competitors. The author does not state a specific time horizon or a risk to this view.

Tesla is no longer the undisputed EV king; BYD, Geely, and Nio have matched battery tech and undercut pricing so severely that margins have collapsed.

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u/cranberrie_sauce Reddit r/stocks
Tesla losing EV edge as margins collapse and Europe sales crash
The author claims Tesla's competitive moat has eroded because BYD, Geely, and Nio have matched battery technology and undercut pricing, causing margins to collapse. In Europe, Tesla's direct-sales model is described as a liability with insufficient service centers, and sales have fallen 37% as buyers choose Chinese and local brands. This supports a bearish or avoid stance on TSLA, with the author implying continued share loss to better-supported competitors. The author does not state a specific time horizon or a risk to this view.
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This Reddit post, published June 19, 2026, features u/cranberrie_sauce discussing TSLA. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/cranberrie_sauce  · Tickers: TSLA