How This Old-School Value Fund With No Tech Stocks Is Beating the Market - Barron’s

u/raytoei · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · 17 июня 2026, 10:42 · ⬆ 22 очк. · 💬 10 комментариев  | Открыть на Reddit ↗
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=== SUMMARY === - Post summarizes a Barron’s article on the Moerus Worldwide fund, which avoids tech stocks and beats the market by buying “hairy” companies with strong/improving balance sheets. - The author (u/raytoei) highlights manager Amit Wadhwaney’s deep‑value strategy and current holdings: Natura Cosmeticos, Greenfire Resources, Dundee Corp, and UniCredit (past success). - Quality assessment: Well‑researched DD based on a Barron’s interview with explicit fund holdings, valuation metrics, and management philosophy. === SENTIMENT === MIXED === TRADE IDEAS === TICKER - DIRECTION | confidence: 0.70 | sentiment: +0.30 Speaker: u/raytoei Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Natura’s stock fell 77% in the past year, but Wadhwaney (fund’s largest holding) believes the balance sheet is cleaned up after selling Body Shop and Avon divisions, with core Latin American business remaining strong. 2. THE BRIDGE: The deep‑value opportunity arises because the market overreacted to restructuring pains and Brazil’s wobbly economy, while the company is now in the final stages of integration (1–2 quarters). 3. THE VERDICT: Long position in a distressed turnaround with a proven manager; potential catalyst when restructuring completes and Brazil macro stabilizes. 4. RISKS: Brazil interest rates stay high, cosmetics demand weakens, restructuring takes longer than expected, or new debt issues arise. Timeframe: medium-term Key Points: - Fund’s top holding with 77% drawdown - Wadhwaney sees balance sheet cleanup finalizing - Brazil economy remains a headwind - Expects payoff in 1-2 quarters - High conviction but not short-term TICKER - DIRECTION | confidence: 0.80 | sentiment: +0.60 Speaker: u/raytoei Thesis: 1. THE FACT: Greenfire Resources is the fund’s second‑largest holding; the company had bituminous rich properties but was highly leveraged, leading to a control change and a large rights offering last year that cleaned up the balance sheet. 2. THE BRIDGE: With debt issues resolved, Greenfire ca
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