People buying Tesla at a $1.2T valuation: what is the actual bull case?

u/ragingbull10 · Reddit — r/investing · June 16, 2026 at 16:32 · ⬆ 143 pts · 💬 172 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary

Summary

  • The author questions Tesla’s $1.2T valuation given flat revenue (~$100B), low net income (~$4B), and a P/E of ~300x.
  • Their thesis: even if Tesla achieves massive success (e.g., FSD, robotaxis, Optimus) and earns $50B/year by 2035, a 20–30x multiple would only justify today’s price—implying no upside for shareholders.
  • Quality assessment: Speculative but numbers-based analysis; not a deep-dive DD but a logical critique of valuation assumptions.
Score 143
Comments 172
Upvote % 86%
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u/ragingbull10 Reddit r/investing
Avoid TSLA: Reddit author questions Tesla's $1.2T valuation, flat revenue, ~$4B net income and ~300x P/E, arguing even a very successful 2035 scenario may offer little upside. Bearish/do-not-buy valuation critique, but no explicit short, puts, or borrowed-stock position.
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This Reddit post, published June 16, 2026, features u/ragingbull10 discussing TSLA. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/ragingbull10  · Tickers: TSLA