If You Invested $1k In PLTR a Year Ago...

u/Chicagoroomie312 · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · June 11, 2026 at 12:24 · ⬆ 19 pts · 💬 80 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary

Summary

  • The post contrasts the flat performance of PLTR over the past year (-2%) with the +20% gain in small‑cap value (VBR), arguing that even strong earnings were already priced in by FOMO buyers.
  • The author criticizes the sub’s recent obsession with high‑growth, high‑multiple stocks (semiconductors, DRAM) and reminds readers that base rates and multiples still matter for long‑term returns.
  • The core thesis is that value investing principles (buying at reasonable multiples, avoiding crowded trades) are superior to chasing hype, and that one must ask what they know that the market does not.

Quality assessment: Speculation/opinion piece with limited data; not a deep‑dive DD but a contrarian commentary grounded in basic valuation logic.

Score 19
Comments 80
Upvote % 68%
▶ Full Post Text
Ideas
u/Chicagoroomie312 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
VBR (Vanguard Small‑Cap Value ETF) returned ~20% over the past year, while PLTR lost money. The author explicitly contrasts this outperformance as evidence that value (low multiples, boring sectors) works, implying a continued tilt toward small‑cap value. Rotating into a diversified small‑cap value ETF captures the “base rates matter” thesis and avoids the FOMO traps the author criticizes. A sharp rotation back into growth or a recession that disproportionately hits small caps could underperform.
VBR MED
u/Chicagoroomie312 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
PLTR trades at ~150x PE (per top comment); even strong earnings failed to deliver positive returns over the past year. The author argues that such rich multiples leave no room for error, and that the market already priced in future growth (i.e., “base rates matter”). Even if the business is excellent, the current valuation offers no margin of safety, making it unsuitable for value investors. Continued AI hype, government contract wins, or a market‑wide growth rally could push PLTR higher despite the elevated PE.
PLTR LOW
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This Reddit post, published June 11, 2026, features u/Chicagoroomie312 discussing VBR, PLTR. 2 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/Chicagoroomie312  · Tickers: VBR, PLTR