SpaceX $1.75 Trillion valuation means capturing 2.4% of total US GDP by 2035. Is this realistic to you?
u/MoneyMonsterStudios ·
Reddit — r/StockMarket
· June 08, 2026 at 13:14
· ⬆ 164 pts
· 💬 105 comments
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Summary
Post discusses rumors of SpaceX Nasdaq listing at $1.75T valuation and analyzes the implied revenue growth required (50% annual for 10 years, reaching $1.1T, 2.4% of US GDP).
Author's thesis: The valuation is aggressive and likely reflects FOMO pricing rather than realistic fundamentals; warns retail investors.
Quality: Speculative analysis based on third-party data (Fortune/New Constructs); provides logical reasoning but lacks primary sources. More noise than deep DD.
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Rumors of a June 12 Nasdaq listing for SpaceX at a $1.75 trillion valuation are heating up, so i've been looking at the math behind that number and the assumtions are... aggressive, to say the least.
According to Fortune/New Constructs ....https://news.futunn.com/en/post/74244292/what-does-spacex-s-sky-high-valuation-imply-it-would?level=1&data\_ticket=17809234445217....., even assuming a relatively modest 10% annual return for investors, SpaceX would need to: grow revenue from $18.7B today to roughly $1.1T by 2035, sustain \~50% annual revenue growth for 10 consecutive year and eventually generate more revenue than Amazon does today. So by 2035, a single company would account for roughly 2.4% of projected U.S. GDP. And thats using a surprisingly low cost of equity for a company operating in space, AI, and other high-risk growth markets.
SpaceX may be an extraordinary business. But does a $1.75T valuation imply one of the greatest growth stories in corporate history... or just one of the greatest cases of FOMO pricing?...or we should say that only time will answer...