u/SignificanceNo3295 ·
Reddit — r/ValueInvesting
· June 07, 2026 at 02:25
· ⬆ 26 pts
· 💬 41 comments
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Summary
The author bought Broadcom (AVGO) on a dip, citing an observed alternating pattern of post-earnings gaps (up in Q1, down in Q2, etc.).
The thesis is purely pattern-based (“vibe trading”) with no fundamental analysis; a 5% allocation is used as a small bet.
Quality assessment: Speculation (no DD, relies on a short-term historical pattern with limited rigor).
Score26
Comments41
Upvote %77%
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Simply put, I bought the dip on Friday on post-nut clarity spur (I'm in Asia).
Prior to that, i was doing some historical trend research for AVGO, nv done before for it and never bought AVGO before.
I noticed that the post earnings cycle for AVGO post-Openai launch had been almost always the same, it alternates. if it gaps up in Q1 earnings, it will crash in Q2, then gap up in Q3 and down in Q4. No prize for guessing what the last post-earnings reaction was.
It's purely vibe trading but I'm just allocating about 5% into this hunch and see where it takes us.
Author observes that AVGO’s post-earnings reactions since the OpenAI launch have alternated up/down each quarter; the last reaction was a gap up, so the next should be a crash/down. Buying the dip after a post-earnings sell-off (the “crash” phase) positions for a reversal in the next earnings cycle. Small tactical bet on a recurring short-term pattern; author is transparent it’s a hunch. Pattern may break; no fundamental catalyst; external macro events or company-specific news invalidate the pattern.
This Reddit post, published June 07, 2026,
features u/SignificanceNo3295
discussing AVGO.
1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.