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When conviction pays off - from a software investor

u/iloveaccounting64 · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · June 01, 2026 at 00:54 · ⬆ 15 pts · 💬 27 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
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Summary

  • Author describes buying LEAPS on MSFT, PANW, ORCL, NOW in Q1 2026, believing enterprise software will be the next AI beneficiary.
  • He held through volatility while semiconductors surged, but maintains conviction that software is “just getting started.”
  • Quality assessment: Personal conviction post with anecdotal reasoning; lacks deep data or valuation analysis – closer to speculation than well-researched DD.
Score 15
Comments 27
Upvote % 76%
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u/iloveaccounting64 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Author explicitly states going “big” with LEAPS on MSFT in Q1 2026 and still holds. Enterprise software adoption of AI will drive future outperformance, making current flat/soft periods an entry opportunity. Long MSFT based on AI‑native software shift; patience rewarded as the next leg of the AI trade rotates into enterprise. Semis continue dominating, software lags, macro slowdown, or MSFT fails to monetize AI. TICKER - PANW - LONG | confidence: 0.80 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: u/iloveaccounting64 Thesis: Author included PANW in his LEAPS basket bought in Q1 2026. Cybersecurity is a critical enterprise AI‑adjacent spend; PANW benefits as AI workloads increase security needs. Long PANW as a high‑conviction pick in the enterprise software AI rotation. Competition, budget shifts, or cybersecurity spending slowdown. TICKER - ORCL - LONG | confidence: 0.80 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: u/iloveaccounting64 Thesis: ORCL was one of the four names purchased with LEAPS in Q1 2026. Oracle’s cloud and database AI integrations position it to capture enterprise‑facing AI demand. Long ORCL as a direct play on enterprise AI adoption, following the software rotation thesis. Cloud competition from AWS/Azure, slower AI‑revenue conversion, or debt concerns. TICKER - NOW - LONG | confidence: 0.80 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: u/iloveaccounting64 Thesis: Author included NOW (ServiceNow) in his Q1 2026 LEAPS basket. ServiceNow’s workflow automation and AI‑powered service management are core enterprise software AI use‑cases. Long NOW as a leading enterprise AI platform beneficiary, aligned with the software rotation narrative. High valuation, macro‑driven IT spend cuts, or execution misses.
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This Reddit post, published June 01, 2026, features u/iloveaccounting64 discussing MSFT. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/iloveaccounting64  · Tickers: MSFT