The $SPCE DD no one is talking about - blastoff to $50
u/sociallydeclined ·
Reddit — r/wallstreetbets
· May 30, 2026 at 17:58
· ⬆ 56 pts
· 💬 21 comments
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Summary
The author argues that Virgin Galactic ($SPCE) is undervalued given its projected flight cadence (4-8 flights/month by Q2 2027) and 700-person backlog, targeting $50-100/share based on 10-20x P/S on $500M revenue.
He advises waiting for the stock to tank after the SpaceX IPO and expected dilution, then buying at $3-5 for a second-leg rally later in 2026 and 2027.
Additional near-term catalysts cited: forced gamma squeeze from new call strikes, 22% short interest, upcoming media run (June 4), and the space sector tailwind from ASTS/RKLB rallies.
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Listen up you knuckle dragging regards
Most of you are looking at buying the $SPCE runup to the SpaceX IPO.
However, none of you are looking at the real value play, what $SPCE will be worth in 1-2 years.
I'll talk math no fluff, they project to fly 4 flights a month in q1 2027 and 8 in q2 2027. Let's assume blended revenue of 375k per seat (combining older tickets and newer ones + research flights) thats 54M revenue in q2 and rising (because of newer more expensive tickets)
Rich people LOVE buying shit no one else can afford just to flex ok the gram or brag to their friends.
All the elite go to F1 and burning man… yawn.. everyone does that. but have you ever gotten head from Sabrina and Becky in space?
That shit is getting bought up
They already have a backlog of 700 FUTURE ASTRONAUTS
Also we know wall street will surely make models on 10 flights a month, 750k a ticket. That adds to 500M revenue.
You can slap whatever p/s on that, for example 10-20. we get to 5-10B mcap.
**PRICE TARGET**
For those of you who can’t do math or read, that is a **price target of $50-100**
With just a conservative p/s, not even looking at the ones assigned to rklb, asts. All the need to do is execute which they are doing… also, all the og virgin galactic nerds in their home sub are jizzing all over the future potential, just like the ASTS nerds dis back when ASTS was $5
**When would I buy?** Wait til this all tanks from after SpaceX IPO and/or we get diluted to hell from management. When this falls back down to $3-5, I am loading the truck. This will have a second leg up end of this year and next year.
**ADDITIONAL CATALYSTS** for those of you who are going to FOMO in on Monday anyway because you have the patience of a gnat:
\- forced Gamma squeeze as new call strikes from $8-11 were just opened, and funds are forced to cover
\- short squeeze with 22% short interest
\- June 4 begins the media run, which brings additional news to the space sector
\- with ASTS and RKLB being so elevated already, the space sector will continue to run, just like EVs did during RVN IPO. $SPCE is the only relatively cheap ticker if you look at its market cap, especially if you zoom out and see it’s already down 99%. Looks like a discount to retail.
\- floor may be $4-4.50. $SPCE has hit nearly $4.5 nearly three times this past year with zero catalysts