Jensen Huang says Nvidia has "largely conceded" China's AI chip market to Huawei, yet zero H200 chips have actually shipped
u/Inevitable_Wear_9107 ·
Reddit — r/investing
· May 22, 2026 at 14:23
· ⬆ 53 pts
· 💬 10 comments
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Summary
The author highlights NVDA CEO Jensen Huang’s admission that Nvidia has “largely conceded” the China AI chip market to Huawei, while approved H200 shipments remain stuck due to Beijing’s customs blockade.
Thesis: The shift to domestic Chinese chips (e.g., Huawei Ascend) is accelerating, but traditional China ETFs (KWEB, CQQQ) lack direct exposure; the author identifies CNQQ as a fund holding key domestic chip names like Cambricon and Zhongji Innolight.
Quality assessment: Partial DD – well-sourced (NVDA earnings call, revenue projections) and logically structured, but the author admits incomplete research on CNQQ and notes country-specific risks.
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I was watching the NVDA earnings call yesterday and Jensen Huang said something on CNBC after that I had to rewind twice. He straight up said Nvidia has "evacuated" and "really largely conceded" the China AI chip market to Huawei, and told investors to "expect nothing" from China. This is a company that had 95% of that market a few years ago and the CEO is now publicly saying it's at zero.
What makes it even stranger is the U.S. already approved about 10 companies (Alibaba, Tencent, ByteDance, JD, etc.) to each buy up to 75,000 H200 chips. Not one has shipped. Beijing blocked them at customs back in January and told everyone to buy domestic. And the numbers on the Huawei side are getting hard to ignore. Ascend chip revenue projected at $12 billion this year versus $7.5 billion last year. ByteDance alone put in $5.6 billion in Ascend orders, from basically nothing before.
So I started looking into how to actually get exposure to the China domestic chip supply chain and quickly realized KWEB and CQQQ basically don't do it. KWEB is all offshore internet, zero A shares. I ended up finding CNQQ which is about half A shares and half HK, and actually holds names like Cambricon and Zhongji Innolight alongside the usual Alibaba and Tencent. Still doing my homework on it, and obviously anything single country China comes with its own bag of headaches. But the fact that Jensen Huang himself said "conceded" on camera made me take the domestic chip story a lot more seriously than I had before.
Huawei Ascend chip revenue projected at $12B in 2026 vs $7.5B in 2025; ByteDance placed $5.6B in Ascend orders; US-approved H200 chips blocked by China since January. Jensen Huang’s “conceded” remark validates the structural shift; CNQQ offers the most direct liquid ETF exposure to China’s domestic AI chip supply chain (A‑shares + HK) including Cambricon and Zhongji Innolight. Long CNQQ as a play on accelerating substitution of US chips by Chinese alternatives, driven by policy and corporate demand. Geopolitical escalation, further US export controls, Chinese regulatory crackdowns, poor liquidity or tracking error in CNQQ, and general China market volatility.
This Reddit post, published May 22, 2026,
features u/Inevitable_Wear_9107
discussing CNQQ.
1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.