So many people here misses real value in front of them
u/One-Brain6531 ·
Reddit — r/ValueInvesting
· May 09, 2026 at 05:33
· ⬆ 15 pts
· 💬 81 comments
| View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary
Summary
The author argues that defensive, non-AI companies (INTU, META, ADP, ZTS, CMCSA, VICI, PFE, BMI) are undervalued and on sale, while AI/cyclical stocks like MU, NVDA, and SNDK are overpriced and speculative.
Thesis: The market overlooks stable dividend-paying companies with defensive profiles; the AI spending cycle is a trap for value investors.
Quality: More opinion/conviction than rigorous DD; lacks detailed financial analysis but expresses a clear investment philosophy.
Score15
Comments81
Upvote %58%
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I am talking about real companies that are on discount , companies that have a more defensive profile and always will be there no matter the AI spending cycle.
Companies that are on a sale is for example INTU, META, ADP, ZTS, CMCSA, VICI, PFE, BMI.
And no, I’m NOT worried about the debt of some like PFE, CMCSA. Also CMCSA has a low payout ratio of below 30% and 5Y CAGR of 7% on already high dividend. PFE I see more as a bond kinda.
People are talking about buying the dip on MU NVDA SNDK and so on, but there are no dips there.
Especially MU SNDK are so cyclical and depending on short term memory prices, imo the prices of the stocks should be around 60-70% lower for being worth to buy.
I personally made a small loss on MU when I sold around 100$ , but good luck to everyone in it, I see that it have shoot up like a meme-stock lmao.
(Not financial advice. I own these stocks so I may be biased but I also hold roughly 70 others + broad index funds. Do your own research.)
Author lists META as a defensive company on discount, despite its large market cap and AI exposure. Many investors overlook META's defensive ad revenue base and cost discipline; current price offers a margin of safety. Author believes META is a real company that will endure regardless of AI cycles and is trading at a reasonable valuation. Massive capex on AI/metaverse could weigh on returns; regulatory risks; commenters note it is an exception and not down 50%. TICKER - CMCSA - LONG | confidence: 0.65 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: u/One-Brain6531 Thesis: CMCSA has low payout ratio (below 30%) and 5Y CAGR of 7% on dividend; author not worried about debt. The market overreacts to debt concerns; stable cash flows from broadband and media provide dividend growth. CMCSA offers a safe, growing dividend with defensive characteristics, trading at a discount. Cord-cutting acceleration, competition from fiber/5G, high debt load could become problematic if rates stay high. TICKER - PFE - LONG | confidence: 0.55 | sentiment: +0.50 Speaker: u/One-Brain6531 Thesis: Author views PFE as a "bond kinda" investment, implying stable income despite debt. Post-COVID revenue decline is priced in; pipeline and dividend yield provide downside protection. PFE is a defensive pharma play with a bond-like yield, suitable for income-oriented value investors. Patent cliff, pipeline failures, further revenue erosion from COVID products, high debt. TICKER - MU - AVOID | confidence: 0.50 | sentiment: -0.60 Speaker: u/One-Brain6531 Thesis: Author argues MU is cyclical, dependent on short-term memory prices, and should be 60-70% lower to be worth buying. The recent price surge resembles a meme-stock; author sees no sustainable value at current levels. MU is overvalued due to AI hype; value investors should avoid or wait for a major pullback. AI memory demand could continue to surprise to the upside; cyclical troughs may be higher than historical norms; commenters see potential value.
This Reddit post, published May 09, 2026,
features u/One-Brain6531
discussing META.
1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.