u/iloveaccounting64 ·
Reddit — r/ValueInvesting
· May 06, 2026 at 01:40
· ⬆ 16 pts
· 💬 80 comments
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AI Summary
Summary
Author vents about FOMO from missing the semi-conductor/capital equipment rally, despite holding ASML (+100%) and profitable NVDA/MSFT/ORCL/PANW LEAPS.
Thesis: He believes AI infrastructure buildout will last longer than expected, leading him to want to buy LRCX on a dip; currently adding precious metals (silver, senior gold miner) and med-tech as undervalued “over-punished” names.
Quality assessment: Noise / emotional vent, not well-researched DD; the post is a personal reflection with no deep analysis or concrete catalysts.
Score16
Comments80
Upvote %62%
▶ Full Post Text
I’m up for the year, and did a few things correctly such as admitting I was wrong about PYPL and sold around $59 last year. Sizing up in consumer staples early this year and largely avoided the early year market turmoil.
I even went in big with leaps on NVDA and some software names during the late march dip this year (MSFT, ORCL, PANW). So far those positions have shown good returns.
But this semi cap rally and the compute bottleneck trade. I’m telling you I completely missed out. I feel so so bad for not catching it. I only had some asml shares which are up 100% but I didn’t even size up during the whole time. This fomo feeling has gotten so bad that I even prayed for a oil shock so I can load up on semi cap names such as lam research as I had realized the AI infra buildout phase is going to be much longer that what most people expect.
I think my mind is clouded so I didn’t do much lately. The only things I added recently are some precious metals play (silver, senior gold miner) and med tech as I think they are over punished for no reason. My reflection on my all my recent buy decisions is that I think they are cheap and fundamentals hasn’t really changed. But this market is making me think fundamentals mean very little compared to trading the narrative .
Anyways I just wanted to vent. Missing out on this insane rally really hit me hard and I feel like shit.
Author says he “added some precious metals play (silver, senior gold miner)” recently. Silver is often seen as a hedge against inflation and currency debasement; author believes current market narratives ignore fundamental value. He is leaning into silver as a contrarian value play, expecting mean-reversion or safe-haven demand. Rising real rates, strong USD, or a collapse in industrial demand could pressure silver prices.
Author states “I even prayed for a oil shock so I can load up on semi cap names such as lam research” because he believes AI infra buildout is longer than expected. LRCX is a leading wafer fabrication equipment supplier; bottleneck trade could extend if capex cycles persist. He wants to buy on a dip but has not acted – a watchlist idea with a long-term bullish bias. Cycle peak, trade restrictions, or demand slowdown from hyperscalers.
Author explicitly added a “senior gold miner” position. Senior gold miners typically offer operational leverage to gold prices and are considered value plays when gold is undervalued relative to fundamentals. He believes gold miners are cheap and fundamentals unchanged, despite market ignoring them. Gold price decline, mining cost inflation, geopolitical disruptions.
Author says he added med-tech, calling it “over punished for no reason.” Med-tech (e.g., surgical robots, implants) often trades at depressed multiples during interest-rate fears; author sees a fundamental disconnect. He is betting on mean-reversion as earnings remain stable. Regulatory headwinds, slower hospital spending, or a broader market sell-off.
This Reddit post, published May 06, 2026,
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