MU is a Value Stock?

BathroomCurious312 · 2026-05-04T14:48:17+00:00

=== SUMMARY === - The post argues Micron (MU) is a value stock with a 25x trailing PE but an estimated 6x forward PE, similar to NVIDIA two years ago. - The author believes MU has room to grow and is considering buying despite recent run-up, fearing a pullback may not come. - **Quality assessment:** Speculation with basic PE data; lacks deep analysis of cycles or HBM, but community comments provide stronger context. === SENTIMENT === BULLISH === TRADE IDEAS === TICKER - DIRECTION | confidence: 0.60 | sentiment: +0.70 Speaker: u/BathroomCurious312 Thesis: 1. THE FACT: MU trades at ~25x trailing PE but ~6x forward PE, implying massive earnings growth expectations. 2. THE BRIDGE: HBM3E qualification and inventory restocking catalysts are not priced into forward estimates, creating a re-rating opportunity. 3. THE VERDICT: MU is a buy now as structural shifts in memory (HBM) make this cycle different from past cyclical downturns. 4. RISKS: Memory cyclicality could still hit if demand falters; competition from Samsung/SK Hynix; execution risk on HBM ramp. Timeframe: medium-term Key Points: - Forward PE of ~6x implies huge earnings growth - HBM3E sold out through 2025 at 3-5x margins - Inventory restocking adds 12-18 months demand - Cyclical risk remains, but structural story differs - Waiting for pullback may miss the run === COMMENTS SUMMARY === Community is broadly bullish on MU’s near-term prospects, citing inventory restocking and HBM margin expansion as underappreciated catalysts. One top commenter warns that waiting for a pullback is futile, while another notes the structural shift in MU’s earnings profile versus past cyclical memory cycles.

u/BathroomCurious312 · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · May 04, 2026 at 14:48 · ⬆ 17 pts · 💬 57 comments | View on Reddit ↗

AI Summary

Summary

The post argues Micron (MU) is a value stock with a 25x trailing PE but an estimated 6x forward PE, similar to NVIDIA two years ago.
The author believes MU has room to grow and is considering buying despite recent run-up, fearing a pullback may not come.
Quality assessment: Speculation with basic PE data; lacks deep analysis of cycles or HBM, but community comments provide stronger context.

Score 17

Comments 57

Upvote % 73%

More from Reddit — r/ValueInvesting

META OR MSFT

May 04, 14:15

AMD: Still undervalued or fairly priced after long term run?

May 04, 11:43

What changed for me when I stopped buying cheap stocks.

May 04, 06:45

Is the Market Disconnected from the Real Economy Right Now?

May 03, 19:30

If Warren Buffett is waiting for a big opportunity for buying something at deep discount, why did he disappear three years ago when the troubled banks were desperately waiting for a buyer?

May 03, 19:04