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What established compounder haven't you been able to buy yet

u/Ancient_Bobcat_9150 · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · May 03, 2026 at 08:01 · ⬆ 17 pts · 💬 40 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary

Summary

  • The author identifies several high-quality compounders (Copart, CPKC, Assa Abloy, SAP) that are approaching attractive entry points after recent earnings seasons, though none are in deep-value territory.
  • Thesis: These businesses are durable long-term holdings, and current price weakness (or near-target levels) creates opportunity to initiate positions, especially for patient investors.
  • Quality assessment: Speculation with moderate reasoning – not a detailed DD, but shows awareness of business quality and price targets; useful as a watchlist but lacks deep financial analysis.
Score 17
Comments 40
Upvote % 88%
Full Post Text
Ideas
u/Ancient_Bobcat_9150 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Author calls CPKC "very disciplined and effective" despite rail headwinds, implying operational strength. The favorable view suggests any further macro weakness could create a buying opportunity for a well-run railroad. Moderate-conviction long-term watch; entry likely on industry-wide dips. Trade disruptions, regulatory issues, or volume declines could hurt earnings.
u/Ancient_Bobcat_9150 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Author notes SAP is a major EU business operations player and price is "getting really attractive," nearly in value territory. This implies SAP offers a rare entry point for a dominant enterprise software firm at a reasonable valuation. Strongest near-term actionable idea; could be opened today with a long-term view. Cloud transition costs, competitive pressure (e.g., Workday, Oracle), EU economic slowdown.
u/Ancient_Bobcat_9150 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Author cites CPRT as a renowned compounder but needs more reassurance on domestic US growth before buying. The implied caution suggests they see potential value only after further price weakness or clearer growth signals. A low-conviction watch/long; entry only if domestic growth narrative strengthens or price drops. Slower US volume trends, auction pricing pressure, or macro headwinds could delay recovery.
u/Ancient_Bobcat_9150 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Assa Abloy "delivering quarter after quarter" and price is near target of 325-330 SEK (currently 350 SEK). A ~6% further decline would hit target, making it an attractive entry for a consistent compounder. Highest-conviction idea in the post; near target, fundamental quality high. Currency (SEK/USD), slowing European construction, or margin compression.
More from Reddit — r/ValueInvesting

This Reddit post, published May 03, 2026, features u/Ancient_Bobcat_9150 discussing CP, SAP, CPRT, ASAZY. 4 trade ideas extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/Ancient_Bobcat_9150  · Tickers: CP, SAP, CPRT, ASAZY