u/Constant-Bridge3690 ·
Reddit — r/ValueInvesting
· May 02, 2026 at 15:14
· ⬆ 18 pts
· 💬 15 comments
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AI Summary
Summary
Author describes a value stock screening technique using "Value Points" (projected revenue growth + operating margin) vs. "Value Score" (EV/projected operating profit), claiming 30% YTD returns with leverage.
He explicitly calls MU his "bet the ranch pick" with a Value Score of 18.44 (threshold >2.0 considered a buy), and lists NVDA, GOOGL, MSFT, META, LLY as existing holdings.
Quality assessment: Mixed – the methodology is original and data-driven (spreadsheet linked), but the post lacks detailed backtesting or risk discussion and relies on leverage, making it more of a personal strategy than rigorous DD.
Score18
Comments15
Upvote %80%
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I've posted several times that I evaluate stocks by comparing a company's Projected Revenue Growth plus Operating Margin (Value Points) to its Enterprise Value/Projected Operating Profit multiple (Value Score).
I'm up 30% YTD with this technique holding MU, NVDA, GOOGL, MSFT, META and LLY with 50% leverage. Last year I was up 46% and the year before was +80%.
MU right now is my bet the ranch pick because its Value Score is 18.44. Anything above 2.0 is considered a possible Buy.
[Stocks by Value Score](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/15r11nnQaYlAFnGCpXBIWQ6REtd_mi31aujX2yMbx5gw/edit?usp=sharing)
MU has a Value Score of 18.44 (EV/projected operating profit), far above the 2.0 buy threshold, indicating extreme undervaluation per the author’s model. The author is using 50% leverage on a concentrated portfolio and calls MU his "bet the ranch pick," suggesting high conviction that the market misprices MU’s growth and margins. MU presents a high-conviction long opportunity based on a proprietary quantitative screen that has historically generated strong returns (46–80% annual gains). Leverage amplifies drawdowns; the model may fail if projected revenue or margins miss; sector cyclicality in memory chips could hurt MU; single‑stock concentration adds risk.
This Reddit post, published May 02, 2026,
features u/Constant-Bridge3690
discussing MU.
1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.