u/Hungry-Command-8454 ·
Reddit — r/investing
· April 30, 2026 at 00:51
· ⬆ 21 pts
· 💬 20 comments
| View on Reddit ↗
No analysis available.
Score21
Comments20
Upvote %66%
▶ Full Post Text
we just had the most loaded 24hrs of the quarter. fed split 8-4 (worst since 1992), trump killed the iran deal, oil ripped to $120, and four mag 7 names reported in an 80-second window after the bell.
today at 8:30 we get GDP + PCE at the same time, then apple after close.
**bull case**: gdp above 2.5%, core pce stays at or below 3.0%, apple beats tonight. if all three hit, the market continues uptrend and bears have nothing left to shoot at. spy clears 720 and we grind to 7200+ on the s&p.
**bear case**: core pce ticks above 3.1% today, then april cpi on may 13 confirms headline above 4%. now you've got rising inflation + a fed that just had its worst internal split in 34 years + a new chair with zero credibility + $120 oil + the strait of hormuz still closed.
which do you think happens?