u/SelenaMeyers2024 ·
Reddit — r/ValueInvesting
· April 24, 2026 at 17:32
· ⬆ 15 pts
· 💬 31 comments
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AI Summary
Summary
The author highlights Charter Communications (CHTR) as a buying opportunity after a minor earnings miss, noting high volatility and heavy volume around $182-187.
Thesis: Despite ~1% annual revenue decline, aggressive share buybacks and an upcoming capex completion will boost free cash flow by ~50% next year; DCF valuation suggests fair value of $330.
Quality assessment: Lightly researched speculation rather than deep DD; lacks detailed financials or risk analysis, but presents a clear catalyst-based argument.
Score15
Comments31
Upvote %86%
▶ Full Post Text
This is my favorite community as you are (the 1 percent of good ideas haha) have made me good money. As such I wanted to return the favor and check out charter today! Chtr
It's all over the place.. 182 to 187 as I write this, crazy volume. Minor earnings miss... But it's a share cannibal and absolutely isnt worth less than 330 on a dcf.
It's not a Google, it's revenues decline 1 percent annually.. probably will forever. But the buybacks are crazy, and next year they will finish their capex, meaning their fcf will blow up 50 percent with no financial improvement.
CHTR’s revenue declines ~1% annually, but aggressive buybacks reduce share count, and a major capex cycle ends next year, causing FCF to jump roughly 50% without operational improvement. The market overreacted to a minor earnings miss, creating a temporary price dislocation below the author’s DCF estimate of $330; the upcoming FCF inflection should close the gap. Buy CHTR at current discounted levels ($182-187) anticipating a re-rating as FCF expands and buybacks accelerate, targeting long-term value realization. Revenue decline could accelerate due to cord-cutting or competition; capex may not decline as expected; macro headwinds or interest rate sensitivity; leverage concerns.
This Reddit post, published April 24, 2026,
features u/SelenaMeyers2024
discussing CHTR.
1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.