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Charter Dumping, awesome opportunity

u/SelenaMeyers2024 · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · April 24, 2026 at 17:32 · ⬆ 15 pts · 💬 31 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
AI Summary

Summary

  • The author highlights Charter Communications (CHTR) as a buying opportunity after a minor earnings miss, noting high volatility and heavy volume around $182-187.
  • Thesis: Despite ~1% annual revenue decline, aggressive share buybacks and an upcoming capex completion will boost free cash flow by ~50% next year; DCF valuation suggests fair value of $330.
  • Quality assessment: Lightly researched speculation rather than deep DD; lacks detailed financials or risk analysis, but presents a clear catalyst-based argument.
Score 15
Comments 31
Upvote % 86%
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Ideas
u/SelenaMeyers2024 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
CHTR’s revenue declines ~1% annually, but aggressive buybacks reduce share count, and a major capex cycle ends next year, causing FCF to jump roughly 50% without operational improvement. The market overreacted to a minor earnings miss, creating a temporary price dislocation below the author’s DCF estimate of $330; the upcoming FCF inflection should close the gap. Buy CHTR at current discounted levels ($182-187) anticipating a re-rating as FCF expands and buybacks accelerate, targeting long-term value realization. Revenue decline could accelerate due to cord-cutting or competition; capex may not decline as expected; macro headwinds or interest rate sensitivity; leverage concerns.
More from Reddit — r/ValueInvesting

This Reddit post, published April 24, 2026, features u/SelenaMeyers2024 discussing CHTR. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/SelenaMeyers2024  · Tickers: CHTR