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$ZM the most asymmetric bet on Anthropic/AI. You get the core business basically for free

u/Zeneph007 · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · April 23, 2026 at 23:13 · ⬆ 45 pts · 💬 27 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
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Summary

  • The post argues that Zoom (ZM) is deeply undervalued because its market cap (~$25B) is only slightly above its cash ($7.8B) plus an estimated $10B stake in Anthropic, leaving its core enterprise video business at a ~3x EV/FCF multiple.
  • The author views ZM as an asymmetric bet: a cash‑generating core business with a “free” AI moonshot via its early Anthropic investment, which could re‑rate as Anthropic approaches a rumored IPO.
  • The analysis is well‑researched but depends on secondary‑market valuation of Anthropic ($1T) and assumptions about dilution; it blends fundamental value with speculative AI proxy logic.
Score 45
Comments 27
Upvote % 89%
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Ideas
u/Zeneph007 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Zoom holds ~$7.8B cash/debt-free and owns a ~1% stake in Anthropic valued at ~$10B on secondary markets; its core business generates ~$1.7B FCF on $5B revenue. The market effectively prices the core business at a ~3x FCF multiple, implying extreme pessimism. A catalyst (Anthropic IPO or market re‑rating) could compress that gap violently. Buy ZM for a hard‑asset floor ($17.8B cash+stake) plus a free, profitable enterprise business; the asymmetric payoff favors upside if AI sentiment improves. Anthropic’s secondary valuation may be illiquid or overstated; core Zoom revenue could decline due to competition (Teams, Google Meet); IPO may be delayed or fail to materialize.
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This Reddit post, published April 23, 2026, features u/Zeneph007 discussing ZM. 1 trade idea extracted by AI with direction and confidence scoring.

Speakers: u/Zeneph007  · Tickers: ZM