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OpenAI will release a Figma killer in the next month right after Google and Anthropic did

u/goxpro1 · Reddit — r/ValueInvesting · April 18, 2026 at 06:48 · ⬆ 15 pts · 💬 15 comments  | View on Reddit ↗
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Summary

  • The post argues that Figma is facing imminent and severe competition from AI-powered design tools released by major AI labs (Google, Anthropic, and predicted OpenAI), which will decimate its stock price.
  • The author's thesis is that Figma, being unprofitable and facing commoditization by easy-to-replicate AI tools, is a doomed investment, while Adobe, though also threatened, is more resilient due to its diversified product portfolio.
  • Quality assessment: Speculation. The post is based on observed patterns and competitive threats, not financial data, valuation models, or specifics on Figma's fundamentals. It contains emotive language and factual inaccuracies (e.g., Figma is a private company, not publicly traded).
Score 15
Comments 15
Upvote % 73%
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Ideas
u/goxpro1 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Major AI companies (Google, Anthropic) have recently released AI-powered design tools that compete with Figma's core product, with OpenAI expected to follow shortly. This rapid commoditization by well-funded giants will crush Figma's growth prospects and stock price, especially given its lack of profitability. Figma's stock will see a temporary retail-driven bump before collapsing further upon OpenAI's competitive release, potentially falling to ~$10/share. Figma could adapt by integrating AI itself, be acquired, or its competitive moat (collaboration, ecosystem) could be stronger than implied. The company is also still private, so this trade is not directly actionable.
u/goxpro1 Reddit r/ValueInvesting
Adobe is also threatened by AI design tools, but its diversified portfolio of creative software makes it more resilient than Figma. While it will fall alongside Figma on competitive news, its decline will be less severe due to its entrenched position and profitability. Adobe is a relative, but not absolute, safe haven; the author implies it is a better hold than Figma but still faces headwinds. Adobe's Firefly AI and market dominance could allow it to integrate and compete effectively, mitigating the threat. The post's focus is on Figma, not a deep Adobe analysis.
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