the case for staying long despite the trump/iran headlines

the headlines are 100% bearish, which is usually when the bottom is in. yes, the rhetoric is aggressive, but if you look at the historical data of military escalations in the gulf, the initial shock is almost always followed by a massive recovery once the actual 'scope' of the conflict is clear. selling your index funds because of a tweet is how you miss the recovery. the 'war premium' is already high. unless we see a total global escalation, this looks like a classic overreaction. are you guys actually selling, or is this just another 'buy the dip' opportunity that everyone is too scared to take?